Denmark Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Brondby
vs
FC Copenhagen
0 – 1 Full time
| 51′ | Marcus Younis | ||
| 59′ | Robert Silva | ||
| 62′ | Mads Emil MadsenThomas Delaney | ||
| 64′ | Oliver Marc Rose-VilladsenJordi Vanlerberghe | ||
| 64′ | Sho FukudaFilip Bundgaard Kristensen | ||
| 72′ | Alex KrálJunnosuke Suzuki | ||
| 72′ | Viktor DadasonAndreas Cornelius | ||
| 78′ | Marcus YounisJacob Brøchner Ambæk | ||
| 79′ | Andreas Cornelius | ||
| 85′ | Mads Frokjaer-JensenPatrick Mortensen | ||
| 85′ | Frederik AlvesMats Köhlert | ||
| 86′ | Robert SilvaMarvin Nasnas |
Brondby
25%
Draw
24%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 402 | Accurate passes | 385 |
Brondby vs FC Copenhagen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brondby vs FC Copenhagen
| Probability | Brondby | Draw | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.0% | 15.5% | 75.6% |
| Market | 29.8% | 26.6% | 43.6% |
| Final | 24.6% | 23.8% | 51.6% |
| Edge | -20.8% | -11.1% | +31.9% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Copenhagen below the model: +31.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Brondby and FC Copenhagen expected goals
Brondby
0.91
FC Copenhagen
2.77
Total expected goals: 3.67
Brondby and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings
Brondby
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.18 +18%
FC Copenhagen
Attack
1.63 +63%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brondby vs FC Copenhagen: result vs prediction
Brondby 0 – 1 FC Copenhagen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brondby vs FC Copenhagen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 51.6% | 1.94 | +31.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brondby | 24.6% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| FC Copenhagen | 51.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 55.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 24.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 9.7% |
| 0-3 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 8.8% |
Brondby vs FC Copenhagen stats
Brondby and FC Copenhagen recent form
| Brondby |
WLLLWW |
| FC Copenhagen |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brondby and FC Copenhagen going into this match
Brondby record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Brondby vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Brondby wins
1Draws
5FC Copenhagen wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Denmark Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-01 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-05 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | The Atlantic Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brondby vs FC Copenhagen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.8%, draw 26.6%, away 43.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.13 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.65 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.50 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 3.75 | 2.20 |
| SBO | 2.88 | 3.32 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.12 ▲ +0.12
X
3.50 ▼ -0.10
2
2.13 ▼ -0.09
15 snapshots recorded, from .