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Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland

4 – 1 Full time

8′Victor Nelsson
16′Mads Søndergaard Clausen
26′Alexander Lind
27′Alexander Lind
33′Dorian Hanza
41′Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman
45′Alexander LindIbrahim Adel
45′Prince Amoako JuniorVillum Berthelsen
66′Charly Ngos Nouck HornemanLasso Coulibaly
70′Mads Søndergaard ClausenPhilip Keller
70′Dorian HanzaRuben Kristensen Alte
70′Hjalte BidstrupAdam Kleis-Kristoffersen
77′Juho LähteenmäkiOla Solbakken
77′Hjalte RasmussenLamine Sadio
81′Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
90′Sami Jalal KarchoudEmil Monrad

Viborg Stadion, VyborgReferee: Graagaard, Lasse Kirk

Viborg 29%
Draw 25%
FC Nordsjaelland 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 2
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 5
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 2
430 Accurate passes 476

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityViborgDrawFC Nordsjaelland
Model15.8%24.5%59.7%
Market33.7%25.5%40.8%
Final29.2%25.2%45.5%
Edge-17.9%-1.0%+18.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Nordsjaelland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Nordsjaelland below the model: +18.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Viborg ↓ / FC Nordsjaella → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 12% 7% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals

Viborg 0.85
FC Nordsjaelland 1.83

Total expected goals: 2.68

Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland attack and defence ratings

Viborg

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.95 -5%

FC Nordsjaelland

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.58 -42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland: result vs prediction

Viborg 4 – 1 FC Nordsjaelland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Nordsjaelland 45.5% 2.20 +18.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score No 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.4% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Viborg29.2%
Draw25.2%
FC Nordsjaelland45.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.2%
No50.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.5%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)70.8%
Handicap -1FC Nordsjaelland win35.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
0-211.5%
0-111.5%

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland stats

Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland recent form

newest first
Viborg LDLWWW
FC Nordsjaelland WWDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland going into this match

league record before kick-off

Viborg record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FC Nordsjaelland record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Viborg wins 1Draws 6FC Nordsjaelland wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26ViborgFC NordsjaellandDenmark Superliga1-0
2026-04-19FC NordsjaellandViborgDenmark Superliga2-1
2026-03-01ViborgFC NordsjaellandDenmark Superliga2-1
2025-08-25FC NordsjaellandViborgDenmark Superliga1-0
2024-11-03FC NordsjaellandViborgSuperliga2-1
2024-09-20ViborgFC NordsjaellandSuperliga3-2
2023-11-01ViborgFC NordsjaellandDBU Pokalen2-3
2023-10-22ViborgFC NordsjaellandSuperliga0-2
2023-07-24FC NordsjaellandViborgSuperliga4-1
2023-06-04FC NordsjaellandViborgSuperliga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 25.5%, away 40.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.79 3.64 2.29
Bet365 2.75 3.80 2.25
BetVictor 2.70 3.60 2.25
Betano 2.85 3.75 2.30
Betfair 2.75 3.80 2.25
Marathonbet 2.78 3.64 2.27
Pinnacle 2.89 3.82 2.35
SBO 2.63 3.44 2.28
William Hill 2.75 3.50 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 ▲ +0.48
X 3.64 ▼ -0.06
2 2.27 ▼ -0.58

15 snapshots recorded, from .