Denmark Superliga · 2026-09-20T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Sonderjyske vs Randers FC

4 – 2 Full time

15′			Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg
25′			Osaze De Rosario
36′			Elies Mahmoud
39′			Ebube DuruSefer Emini
45′			Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason
45′			Dalton Wilkins
49′			Mohamed Cherif
56′			Martin André SjølstadAxel Henriksson
56′			Kasper JunkerMohamed Sankoh
60′			Dalton WilkinsJacob Christensen
60′			Anders Raffnsøe HoegAndreas Oggesen
66′			Mohamed Sankoh
67′			Elies MahmoudAmady Camara
67′			Simon StükerHector Lux
78′			Ismaïl Seydi
82′			Osaze De RosarioAnders Bergholt
82′			Ismaïl SeydiMatthew Hoppe
85′			Sefer Emini

Haderslev Fodbold Stadion, HadeslevReferee: Jens Maae

Sonderjyske

31%

Draw

26%

Randers FC

43%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

10	Shots	14
7	Shots on target	6
39	Possession %	61
5	Corners	4
15	Fouls	7
2	Offsides	1
4	Saves	3
273	Accurate passes	479

Sonderjyske vs Randers FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sonderjyske vs Randers FC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Sonderjyske	Draw	Randers FC
Model	21.7%	23.6%	54.6%
Market	34.7%	26.4%	39.0%
Final	31.4%	25.7%	42.9%
Edge	-12.9%	-2.7%	+15.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Randers FC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.20.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Randers FC below the model: +15.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

84%

3+ goals

62%

No goals

Sonderjyske and Randers FC expected goals

Sonderjyske

1.20

Randers FC

1.99

Total expected goals: 3.19

Sonderjyske and Randers FC attack and defence ratings

Sonderjyske

Attack

0.83 -17%

Defence

1.32 +32%

Randers FC

Attack

1.04 +4%

Defence

0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sonderjyske vs Randers FC: result vs prediction

Sonderjyske 4 – 2 Randers FC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Lyngby v Silkeborg — match page · 2026-09-18
Odense vs FC Midtjylland — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Brondby v FC Copenhagen — match page · 2026-09-20
AC Horsens vs Aarhus — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Sonderjyske, previous: AB Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske prediction
Sonderjyske, next: Aarhus v Sonderjyske analysis
Randers FC, previous: Vendsyssel FF vs Randers FC: odds and pick
Randers FC, next: Randers FC – Viborg, 2026-10-11

Sonderjyske vs Randers FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Randers FC	42.9%	2.33	+15.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61.8%	1.62	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	61.4%	1.63	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.3%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	45.4%	2.20	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Sonderjyske	31.4%
	Draw	25.7%
	Randers FC	42.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61.8%
	Under 2.5	38.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	61.4%
	No	38.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	57.1%
	12 (either side)	74.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	68.6%
Handicap -1	Randers FC win	32.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.7%
	Loss	45.4%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.8%
	1-2	9.8%
	0-2	8.1%

Sonderjyske vs Randers FC stats

Sonderjyske and Randers FC recent form

newest first

Sonderjyske	LDLWLL
Randers FC	WLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sonderjyske and Randers FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sonderjyske record

They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Randers FC record

They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sonderjyske vs Randers FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Sonderjyske wins 2Draws 6Randers FC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-06-26	Randers FC	Sonderjyske	Friendlies Clubs	2-4
2025-10-26	Randers FC	Sonderjyske	Denmark Superliga	0-0
2025-09-12	Sonderjyske	Randers FC	Denmark Superliga	0-1
2024-11-02	Sonderjyske	Randers FC	Superliga	1-4
2024-08-18	Randers FC	Sonderjyske	Superliga	1-2
2023-01-27	Randers FC	Sonderjyske	Friendlies Clubs	5-1
2022-03-20	Sonderjyske	Randers FC	Superliga	1-1
2021-08-08	Randers FC	Sonderjyske	Superliga	1-0
2021-05-13	Randers FC	Sonderjyske	DBU Pokalen	4-0
2020-12-20	Sonderjyske	Randers FC	Superliga	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sonderjyske vs Randers FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 26.4%, away 39.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.70	3.55	2.36
Bet365	2.75	3.50	2.40
BetVictor	2.63	3.40	2.38
Betano	2.75	3.55	2.47
Betfair	2.63	3.60	2.40
Marathonbet	2.70	3.55	2.36
Pinnacle	2.78	3.83	2.42
SBO	2.59	3.25	2.41
William Hill	2.62	3.50	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▼ -0.50

X 3.55 ▼ -0.05

2 2.40 ▲ +0.28

15 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-13T08:10:02Z.