Aarhus
vs
Sonderjyske
3 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Kristian Arnstad | ||
| 15′ | Janni Serra | ||
| 38′ | Frederik Tingager | ||
| 45′ | Ismaïl Seydi | ||
| 45′ | Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonStefan Velkov | ||
| 63′ | Frederik EmmeryCallum McCowatt | ||
| 66′ | Sefer EminiTeodor Berg Haltvik | ||
| 66′ | Mathias OlesenJacob Christensen | ||
| 77′ | Daniel Leo GretarssonEric Kahl | ||
| 78′ | Janni SerraStefen Tchamche | ||
| 81′ | Ismaïl SeydiBubacarr Tambedou | ||
| 81′ | Anders Raffnsøe HoegAndreas Oggesen | ||
| 89′ | Tobias Bech KristensenJames Bogere | ||
| 89′ | Rasmus CarstensenJacob Andersen |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 418 | Accurate passes | 358 |
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus vs Sonderjyske
| Probability | Aarhus | Draw | Sonderjyske |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 21.0% | 28.2% |
| Market | 60.7% | 21.5% | 17.8% |
| Final | 58.2% | 21.4% | 20.4% |
| Edge | -2.5% | -0.1% | +2.6% |
Why Aarhus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.75.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aarhus and Sonderjyske expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.10
Aarhus and Sonderjyske attack and defence ratings
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske: result vs prediction
Aarhus 3 – 0 Sonderjyske
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus | 58.2% | 1.72 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus | 58.2% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Sonderjyske | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% |
| No | 24.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aarhus win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.0% |
| 1-1 | 7.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske stats
Aarhus and Sonderjyske recent form
| Aarhus |
DWLDLL |
| Sonderjyske |
WLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aarhus and Sonderjyske going into this match
Aarhus record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sonderjyske record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Aarhus | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sonderjyske | Aarhus | Denmark Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Aarhus | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Aarhus | Sonderjyske | DBU Pokalen | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Sonderjyske | Aarhus | Denmark Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Sonderjyske | Aarhus | Superliga | 1-4 |
| 2024-08-02 | Aarhus | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 4-0 |
| 2023-01-13 | Sonderjyske | Aarhus | Friendlies Clubs | 1-5 |
| 2023-01-13 | Aarhus | Sonderjyske | Friendlies Clubs | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 21.5%, away 17.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.33 | 5.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.45 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.55 | 5.53 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 3.91 | 4.49 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .