Garuda Lions
Today
Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

3 – 3 Full time

8′Alagie Saine
23′Jakob Bonde Jensen
45′Maël Durand de GevigneyWilliam Kirk
45′Rami HajalKristian Bloch Bøgild
47′Abdul Moro
48′Oliver Ross
59′Jakob Bonde Jensen
63′Oliver Ross
71′Oliver Ross
75′Mads FreundlichAndreas Poulsen
75′Abdul MoroAdam Herdonsson
76′Yamirou OuorouJulius Körkkö
76′Mikkel KupijbidaSeniko Doua
82′Kingsley BimpongJimi Tauriainen
82′Lucas Thorst RiisgaardPedro Luis Machado Ganchas
85′Karlo LusavecFallou Sene
85′Oliver RossKristian Kirkegaard
90′Jimi Tauriainen
90′Kristian Bloch Bøgild
90′Alagie Saine

JYSK Park, SilkeborgReferee: Jakob Kehlet

Silkeborg 41%
Draw 26%
AC Horsens 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 7
62 Possession % 38
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 4
593 Accurate passes 335

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySilkeborgDrawAC Horsens
Model29.6%23.9%46.5%
Market44.5%26.7%28.8%
Final40.8%26.0%33.2%
Edge-3.7%-0.7%+4.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Silkeborg ↓ / AC Horsens → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Silkeborg and AC Horsens expected goals

Silkeborg 1.51
AC Horsens 1.92

Total expected goals: 3.43

Silkeborg and AC Horsens attack and defence ratings

Silkeborg

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.03 +3%

AC Horsens

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens: result vs prediction

Silkeborg 3 – 3 AC Horsens

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Silkeborg 40.8% 2.45 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.7% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.5% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.4% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Silkeborg40.8%
Draw26.0%
AC Horsens33.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.7%
Under 2.533.3%
Both teams to scoreYes67.5%
No32.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.8%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.2%
Handicap -1Silkeborg win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.4%
Loss70.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-29.0%
2-17.1%

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens stats

Silkeborg and AC Horsens recent form

newest first
Silkeborg WDDDLL
AC Horsens DWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Silkeborg and AC Horsens going into this match

league record before kick-off

Silkeborg record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Horsens record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Silkeborg wins 3Draws 5AC Horsens wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-05-19AC HorsensSilkeborgSuperliga0-1
2023-04-11SilkeborgAC HorsensSuperliga1-2
2022-10-23AC HorsensSilkeborgSuperliga3-2
2022-10-02SilkeborgAC HorsensSuperliga2-1
2021-09-23AC HorsensSilkeborgDBU Pokalen3-2
2021-07-02AC HorsensSilkeborgFriendlies Clubs0-0
2020-08-19SilkeborgAC HorsensFriendlies Clubs0-0
2020-03-05AC HorsensSilkeborgDBU Pokalen2-2
2019-11-09AC HorsensSilkeborgSuperliga2-1
2019-07-21SilkeborgAC HorsensSuperliga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 26.7%, away 28.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 3.50 3.24
Bet365 2.10 3.40 3.30
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 3.20
Betano 2.12 3.50 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.60 3.25
Dafabet 2.16 3.50 3.35
Marathonbet 2.08 3.50 3.24
Pinnacle 2.14 3.61 3.45
SBO 2.14 3.19 3.04
William Hill 2.10 3.30 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.05
X 3.50 ▼ -0.05
2 3.25 ▲ +0.17

17 snapshots recorded, from .