Denmark Superliga Β· Β·Matchday 10

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

Garuda Lions Prediction: Silkeborg

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability

JYSK Park, SilkeborgReferee: Jakob Kehlet

Silkeborg 40%
Draw 26%
AC Horsens 34%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Silkeborg wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
7% of simulated outcomes

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySilkeborgDrawAC Horsens
Model29.6%24.0%46.5%
Market43.3%26.6%30.1%
Final39.9%26.0%34.2%
Edge-13.7%-2.7%+16.4%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens match preview

Silkeborg faces AC Horsens in the Denmark Superliga, with Silkeborg holding a 40% probability of winning, while AC Horsens has a 34% chance. The likelihood of a draw stands at 26%. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Silkeborg, occurring with a 7% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring match, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score.

In terms of recent form, Silkeborg has recorded one win, three draws, and two losses, while AC Horsens has two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. The expected goals show Silkeborg at 1.51 and AC Horsens at 1.92, indicating a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, reflecting a blend of probabilities and market odds.

Silkeborg and AC Horsens team news

injuries & suspensions

Silkeborg news

  • A. Busch β€” ankle injury
  • K. Kirkegaard β€” injury
  • M. Jonsson β€” coach's decision
  • P. Rodin β€” knee injury

AC Horsens news

  • C. Vestergaard β€” knee injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Silkeborg ↓ / AC Horsens β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Silkeborg and AC Horsens expected goals

Silkeborg 1.51
AC Horsens 1.92

Total expected goals: 3.43

Silkeborg and AC Horsens attack and defence ratings

Silkeborg

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.03 +3%

AC Horsens

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Silkeborg 39.9% 2.51 -13.7% 2.22
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.5% 1.50 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 67.4% 1.48 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 70.4% 1.42 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Silkeborg39.9%
Draw26.0%
AC Horsens34.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.5%
Under 2.533.5%
Both teams to scoreYes67.4%
No32.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.8%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1Silkeborg win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.4%
Loss70.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-29.0%
2-17.1%

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens stats

Silkeborg and AC Horsens recent form

newest first
Silkeborg WDDDLL
AC Horsens DWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Silkeborg and AC Horsens season so far

league record

Silkeborg record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Horsens record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 26.6%, away 30.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.50 3.09
Bet365 2.15 3.40 3.25
BetVictor 2.10 3.40 3.10
Betano 2.22 3.55 3.15
Betfair 2.10 3.60 3.10
Dafabet 2.21 3.55 3.15
Marathonbet 2.15 3.50 3.08
Pinnacle 2.18 3.60 3.18
SBO 2.14 3.04 2.82
William Hill 2.10 3.40 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 β€”
X 3.50 β–Ό -0.05
2 3.10 β–² +0.02

14 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Silkeborg Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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