Denmark Superliga · 2026-10-16T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 11

AC Horsens vs Randers FC

0 – 0 Full time

22′			Laurits Pedersen
41′			Adam Herdonsson
45′			Axel Henriksson
45′			Mike Themsen
45′			Kingsley BimpongKelvin Ehibhatiomhan
45′			Adam HerdonssonAbdul Moro
45′			Kasper JunkerMartin André Sjølstad
67′			Jimi TauriainenJulius Madsen
67′			Mohamed SankohAmady Camara
71′			Sabil Osman Hansen
77′			Nikolas Langberg DyhrOliver Jones
77′			Mike ThemsenHector Lux
80′			Karlo LusavecYamirou Ouorou

CASA Arena, HorsensReferee: Morten Krogh

AC Horsens

39%

Draw

25%

Randers FC

36%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

10	Shots	10
5	Shots on target	3
68	Possession %	32
4	Corners	7
19	Fouls	10
3	Offsides	1
3	Saves	5
548	Accurate passes	198

AC Horsens vs Randers FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AC Horsens vs Randers FC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	AC Horsens	Draw	Randers FC
Model	54.1%	21.3%	24.5%
Market	33.9%	26.5%	39.6%
Final	39.0%	25.2%	35.8%
Edge	+5.1%	-1.3%	-3.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why AC Horsens

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.53.
The market prices AC Horsens below our published probability: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

90%

3+ goals

74%

No goals

AC Horsens and Randers FC expected goals

AC Horsens

2.30

Randers FC

1.53

Total expected goals: 3.84

AC Horsens and Randers FC attack and defence ratings

AC Horsens

Attack

1.32 +32%

Defence

1.09 +9%

Randers FC

Attack

0.98 -2%

Defence

1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: result vs prediction

AC Horsens 0 – 0 Randers FC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Sonderjyske v Silkeborg — match page · 2026-10-18
Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland — team news & stats · 2026-10-18
Odense v Brondby — match page · 2026-10-18
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus — team news & stats · 2026-10-18
Viborg vs FC Midtjylland · 2026-10-19

Before and after this match

AC Horsens, previous: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens prediction
AC Horsens, next: AC Horsens v Sonderjyske analysis
Randers FC, previous: Randers FC – Viborg, 2026-10-11
Randers FC, next: Randers FC – Brondby, 2026-10-23

AC Horsens vs Randers FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	AC Horsens	39.0%	2.57	+5.1%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	73.7%	1.36	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	71.4%	1.40	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.8%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	45.9%	2.18	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	AC Horsens	39.0%
	Draw	25.2%
	Randers FC	35.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	73.7%
	Under 2.5	26.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	71.4%
	No	28.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.2%
	12 (either side)	74.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.0%
Handicap -1	AC Horsens win	34.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.0%
	Loss	45.9%
Correct score (top 3)	2-1	8.8%
	1-1	8.4%
	3-1	6.7%

AC Horsens vs Randers FC stats

AC Horsens and Randers FC recent form

newest first

AC Horsens	DDWLWW
Randers FC	LLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AC Horsens and Randers FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

AC Horsens record

They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.

Randers FC record

They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Horsens vs Randers FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4AC Horsens wins 2Draws 4Randers FC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-01-29	Randers FC	AC Horsens	Friendlies Clubs	3-4
2023-07-15	Randers FC	AC Horsens	Friendlies Clubs	1-0
2022-11-04	AC Horsens	Randers FC	Superliga	5-1
2022-08-05	Randers FC	AC Horsens	Superliga	1-0
2022-01-21	AC Horsens	Randers FC	Friendlies Clubs	2-1
2021-06-26	AC Horsens	Randers FC	Friendlies Clubs	1-1
2021-02-02	Randers FC	AC Horsens	Superliga	3-0
2020-09-13	AC Horsens	Randers FC	Superliga	0-3
2020-06-28	Randers FC	AC Horsens	Superliga	0-3
2020-06-20	AC Horsens	Randers FC	Superliga	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AC Horsens vs Randers FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 26.6%, away 39.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.75	3.54	2.36
Bet365	2.75	3.50	2.40
BetVictor	2.70	3.50	2.30
Betano	2.77	3.65	2.40
Betfair	2.75	3.30	2.45
Dafabet	2.85	3.55	2.40
Marathonbet	2.74	3.54	2.34
Pinnacle	2.81	3.70	2.46
SBO	2.69	3.22	2.34
William Hill	2.70	3.40	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 —

X 3.52 ▲ +0.08

2 2.35 ▼ -0.03

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-10T08:10:01Z.