AC Horsens
vs
Sonderjyske
Garuda Lions Prediction: AC Horsens
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske
| Probability | AC Horsens | Draw | Sonderjyske |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.7% | 20.3% | 22.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.7% | 20.3% | 22.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AC Horsens
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.51.
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske match preview
AC Horsens will face Sonderjyske in the Denmark Superliga, with a kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, AC Horsens has a 58% probability of winning, while Sonderjyske's chances stand at 22%, with a 20% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for AC Horsens is 2.45, compared to Sonderjyske's 1.51, indicating a potential scoreline of 2-1, which has a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, AC Horsens has recorded three draws, one win, and two losses in their last six matches, while Sonderjyske has two wins, three losses, and one draw in the same period. Historically, in their last ten encounters, AC Horsens has secured three victories, whereas Sonderjyske has dominated with seven wins. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AC Horsens and Sonderjyske expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.96
AC Horsens and Sonderjyske attack and defence ratings
AC Horsens
Sonderjyske
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Horsens | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Horsens | 57.7% |
| Draw | 20.3% | |
| Sonderjyske | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.8% |
| No | 28.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | AC Horsens win | 37.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske stats
AC Horsens and Sonderjyske recent form
| AC Horsens |
DDDWLW |
| Sonderjyske |
WLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AC Horsens and Sonderjyske season so far
AC Horsens record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
Sonderjyske record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sonderjyske | AC Horsens | Denmark Superliga | 2-5 |
| 2024-03-09 | AC Horsens | Sonderjyske | 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2023-08-12 | Sonderjyske | AC Horsens | 1. Division | 5-0 |
| 2023-08-09 | AC Horsens | Sonderjyske | DBU Pokalen | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-20 | AC Horsens | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2021-04-11 | Sonderjyske | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2021-03-14 | Sonderjyske | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2020-11-08 | AC Horsens | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2020-06-10 | Sonderjyske | AC Horsens | DBU Pokalen | 2-1 |
| 2019-12-15 | AC Horsens | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.