Sonderjyske
vs
FC Copenhagen
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Copenhagen
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.05.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Copenhagen is the favourite, not a value bet.
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen
| Probability | Sonderjyske | Draw | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.4% | 17.8% | 69.8% |
| Market | 14.7% | 20.2% | 65.1% |
| Final | 14.2% | 19.6% | 66.3% |
| Edge | -0.6% | -0.6% | +1.2% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.05.
Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.9% per unit staked (our 66.3% × 1.45 − 1).
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen match preview
In the upcoming match between Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen, the probabilities suggest a strong advantage for the visitors, with FC Copenhagen holding a 66% likelihood of winning compared to Sonderjyske's 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.12 for Sonderjyske and 2.51 for FC Copenhagen. Additionally, there is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score in 63% of the scenarios.
Recent form shows Sonderjyske with a mixed record of L-W-L-W-L-D, while FC Copenhagen has had a slightly better run with D-D-D-W-L-W. In their last 10 encounters, FC Copenhagen has dominated with 7 wins against Sonderjyske's 1, alongside 2 draws. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.64
Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings
Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 66.3% | 1.51 | +1.2% | 1.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.8% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sonderjyske | 14.2% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| FC Copenhagen | 66.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 49.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 30.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.2% |
| 0-2 | 8.8% | |
| 1-3 | 8.0% |
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen stats
Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen recent form
| Sonderjyske |
LWLWLD |
| FC Copenhagen |
WDDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen season so far
Sonderjyske record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | FC Copenhagen | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | FC Copenhagen | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Sonderjyske | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | FC Copenhagen | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-30 | Sonderjyske | FC Copenhagen | DBU Pokalen | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-11 | Sonderjyske | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2024-07-16 | FC Copenhagen | Sonderjyske | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2021-10-17 | Sonderjyske | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-22 | FC Copenhagen | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2021-02-15 | FC Copenhagen | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.7%, draw 20.2%, away 65.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.51 | 4.60 | 1.43 |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 4.80 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 4.90 | 1.45 |
| Marathonbet | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.42 |
| Pinnacle | 6.19 | 4.86 | 1.45 |
| SBO | 5.42 | 4.30 | 1.37 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .