Viborg
vs
AC Horsens
Garuda Lions Prediction: Viborg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Viborg is the favourite, not a value bet.
Viborg vs AC Horsens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viborg vs AC Horsens
| Probability | Viborg | Draw | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.0% | 24.3% | 41.7% |
| Market | 64.7% | 21.2% | 14.1% |
| Final | 57.0% | 22.0% | 21.0% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +0.8% | +6.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -19.1% per unit staked (our 57.0% × 1.42 − 1).
Viborg vs AC Horsens match preview
Viborg is favored to win against AC Horsens with a 59% probability, while a draw stands at 22% and Horsens at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Viborg, with a 9% chance of occurrence. The expected goals for Viborg are 1.74, compared to 1.55 for AC Horsens.
In terms of recent form, Viborg has recorded a mixed performance with one win in their last six matches, while AC Horsens has drawn three of their last five games. Historically, Viborg has dominated their encounters with AC Horsens, winning 8 out of the last 10 matches. Additionally, our model indicates a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Viborg and AC Horsens expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
Viborg and AC Horsens attack and defence ratings
Viborg
AC Horsens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viborg vs AC Horsens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viborg | 57.0% | 1.75 | -7.7% | 1.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viborg | 57.0% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| AC Horsens | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% |
| No | 31.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viborg win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 66.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Viborg vs AC Horsens stats
Viborg and AC Horsens recent form
| Viborg |
LLWWLD |
| AC Horsens |
WDDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viborg and AC Horsens season so far
Viborg record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AC Horsens record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Viborg vs AC Horsens head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | AC Horsens | Viborg | Denmark Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-04 | AC Horsens | Viborg | DBU Pokalen | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-04 | AC Horsens | Viborg | DBU Pokalen | 0-4 |
| 2024-01-25 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
| 2023-02-26 | AC Horsens | Viborg | Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2022-09-12 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-09 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs | 5-4 |
| 2016-12-03 | AC Horsens | Viborg | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2016-09-10 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2-4 |
| 2015-04-25 | AC Horsens | Viborg | 1. Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Viborg vs AC Horsens odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 21.2%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .