Odense
vs
Viborg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Viborg
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Viborg is the favourite, not a value bet.
Odense vs Viborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Odense vs Viborg
| Probability | Odense | Draw | Viborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.4% | 28.7% | 32.9% |
| Market | 34.1% | 25.2% | 40.7% |
| Final | 35.1% | 26.1% | 38.8% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +0.9% | -2.0% |
Why Viborg
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.8% per unit staked (our 38.8% × 2.38 − 1).
Odense vs Viborg match preview
Odense faces Viborg in the Denmark Superliga with both teams showing mixed recent form. Odense's last five matches include two wins, two draws, and a loss, while Viborg has two wins, three losses, and a draw in their recent outings. The model gives Odense a 33% chance of winning, a 30% probability for a draw, and a 37% likelihood for a Viborg victory.
The expected goals for the match suggest a close contest, with Odense at 1.20 and Viborg at 1.29. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1 in favor of Viborg, occurring with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability that both teams will score during the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Odense and Viborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Odense and Viborg attack and defence ratings
Odense
Viborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Odense vs Viborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viborg | 38.8% | 2.58 | -2.0% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odense | 35.1% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Viborg | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viborg win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 67.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 8.8% | |
| 0-0 | 8.6% |
Odense vs Viborg stats
Odense and Viborg recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Odense and Viborg season so far
Odense record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viborg record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Odense vs Viborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Viborg | Odense | Denmark Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Viborg | Odense | Denmark Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Odense | Viborg | Denmark Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Viborg | Odense | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-12 | Odense | Viborg | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-02-16 | Viborg | Odense | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-07 | Odense | Viborg | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2023-07-09 | Odense | Viborg | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Viborg | Odense | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Odense | Viborg | Superliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Odense vs Viborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 25.2%, away 40.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.68 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.75 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 2.77 | 3.68 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 3.79 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.56 | 3.18 | 2.24 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .