Randers FC
vs
FC Nordsjaelland
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Nordsjaelland
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Nordsjaelland is the favourite, not a value bet.
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland
| Probability | Randers FC | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.3% | 28.2% | 36.5% |
| Market | 21.8% | 22.2% | 56.0% |
| Final | 25.2% | 23.7% | 51.1% |
| Edge | +3.4% | +1.5% | -4.9% |
Why FC Nordsjaelland
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.1% per unit staked (our 51.1% × 1.72 − 1).
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland match preview
Randers FC faces FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark Superliga with a kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, Randers FC has a 29% probability of winning, while FC Nordsjaelland is favored at 43%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 56%, and there is a 52% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Randers FC has struggled with five losses in their last six matches, while FC Nordsjaelland remains unbeaten in their last six games, with one win and five draws. The expected goals for Randers FC stand at 1.22, compared to 1.53 for FC Nordsjaelland. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Randers FC has recorded one win, while FC Nordsjaelland has secured two victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland attack and defence ratings
Randers FC
FC Nordsjaelland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Nordsjaelland | 51.1% | 1.96 | -4.9% | 1.72 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Randers FC | 25.2% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 51.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland stats
Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland recent form
| Randers FC |
LLLDLL |
| FC Nordsjaelland |
LLWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland season so far
Randers FC record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Nordsjaelland record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Nordsjaelland | Randers FC | Denmark Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | FC Nordsjaelland | Randers FC | Denmark Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Randers FC | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.8%, draw 22.2%, away 56.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.26 | 4.30 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.40 | 4.20 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 4.30 | 1.70 |
| Marathonbet | 4.30 | 4.30 | 1.64 |
| Pinnacle | 4.43 | 4.22 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.76 | 3.77 | 1.62 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .