Denmark Superliga Β· Β·Matchday 14

Silkeborg vs Lyngby

Garuda Lions Prediction: Silkeborg

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Silkeborg is the favourite, not a value bet.

JYSK Park, SilkeborgReferee: SvendsenΒ·Frederik

Silkeborg 37%
Draw 26%
Lyngby 37%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Silkeborg wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
68%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Silkeborg vs Lyngby overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Silkeborg vs Lyngby

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySilkeborgDrawLyngby
Model33.1%24.2%42.7%
Market38.9%26.0%35.1%
Final37.5%25.5%37.0%
Edge-1.5%-0.4%+1.9%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.53, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.2% per unit staked (our 37.5% Γ— 2.53 βˆ’ 1).

Silkeborg vs Lyngby match preview

Silkeborg and Lyngby are set to clash in the Denmark Superliga, with Silkeborg holding a 38% probability of victory compared to Lyngby's 37%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Silkeborg, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring match, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% probability that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Silkeborg has recorded one win, three draws, and a loss in their last five matches, while Lyngby has achieved two wins, one draw, and two losses in the same period. Historically, the last ten encounters between the two teams have been evenly matched, with Silkeborg and Lyngby each securing four wins and two draws. Expected goals for this match are 1.61 for Silkeborg and 1.84 for Lyngby.

Silkeborg and Lyngby team news

injuries & suspensions

Silkeborg news

  • A. Busch β€” ankle injury
  • P. Rodin β€” knee injury

Lyngby news

  • O. Snorre β€” knee injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Silkeborg ↓ / Lyngby β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 10% 9% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Silkeborg and Lyngby expected goals

Silkeborg 1.61
Lyngby 1.84

Total expected goals: 3.45

Silkeborg and Lyngby attack and defence ratings

Silkeborg

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Lyngby

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Silkeborg vs Lyngby markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Silkeborg 37.5% 2.67 -1.5% 2.53
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.1% 1.49 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 68.3% 1.46 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 66.9% 1.49 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Silkeborg37.5%
Draw25.5%
Lyngby37.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.1%
Under 2.532.9%
Both teams to scoreYes68.3%
No31.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.0%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Silkeborg win16.6%
Push (exactly one goal)16.5%
Loss66.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-28.7%
2-17.6%

Silkeborg vs Lyngby stats

Silkeborg and Lyngby recent form

newest first
Silkeborg LDLDWD
Lyngby WWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Silkeborg and Lyngby season so far

league record

Silkeborg record

  • They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lyngby record

  • They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Silkeborg vs Lyngby head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Silkeborg wins 2Draws 4Lyngby wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-18LyngbySilkeborgDenmark Superliga0-4
2025-04-27LyngbySilkeborgSuperliga2-0
2025-04-06SilkeborgLyngbySuperliga2-1
2025-03-09SilkeborgLyngbySuperliga0-1
2024-09-29LyngbySilkeborgSuperliga2-2
2023-12-03LyngbySilkeborgSuperliga2-0
2023-10-06SilkeborgLyngbySuperliga5-0
2023-05-14SilkeborgLyngbySuperliga1-0
2023-04-02LyngbySilkeborgSuperliga1-1
2022-11-12SilkeborgLyngbySuperliga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Silkeborg vs Lyngby odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.9%, draw 26.0%, away 35.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.35 3.65 2.66
Bet365 2.45 3.50 2.70
BetVictor 2.38 3.50 2.60
Betano 2.45 3.60 2.75
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.63
Dafabet 2.44 3.60 2.75
Marathonbet 2.35 3.65 2.66
Pinnacle 2.53 3.77 2.70
SBO 2.31 3.32 2.66
William Hill 2.40 3.40 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 β–Ό -0.15
X 3.60 β–² +0.05
2 2.66 β–² +0.18

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Silkeborg Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now