Odense
vs
Silkeborg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Odense
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.10.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Odense is the favourite, not a value bet.
Odense vs Silkeborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Odense vs Silkeborg
| Probability | Odense | Draw | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 27.2% | 24.9% |
| Market | 48.3% | 24.6% | 27.1% |
| Final | 48.2% | 25.2% | 26.6% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +0.6% | -0.6% |
Why Odense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.9% per unit staked (our 48.2% × 1.91 − 1).
Odense vs Silkeborg match preview
Odense faces Silkeborg in the Denmark Superliga with Odense holding a 48% probability of winning, while Silkeborg stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Odense, with a 9% likelihood. The model also indicates a 51% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score. Expected goals for Odense are 1.60, compared to Silkeborg's 1.11.
In terms of recent form, Odense has recorded a sequence of W-D-D-W-W-L, while Silkeborg has managed D-L-D-W-D-D. Historically, in their last five encounters, Odense has not secured a win, with Silkeborg achieving four victories and one draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Odense and Silkeborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Odense and Silkeborg attack and defence ratings
Odense
Silkeborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Odense vs Silkeborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odense | 48.2% | 2.07 | -0.1% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odense | 48.2% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Silkeborg | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% |
| No | 45.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Odense win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Odense vs Silkeborg stats
Odense and Silkeborg recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Odense and Silkeborg season so far
Odense record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Silkeborg record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Odense vs Silkeborg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Silkeborg | Odense | Denmark Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Odense | Silkeborg | Denmark Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Silkeborg | Odense | Denmark Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Odense | Silkeborg | Denmark Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Silkeborg | Odense | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Odense vs Silkeborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.3%, draw 24.6%, away 27.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .