DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 16

FC Midtjylland vs Odense

2 – 1 Full time

27′M. B. Sorensen
40′J. Askou
42′N. Ganaus
46′K. WatjenS. Iheanacho
50′R. FalkA. Suhonen
56′A. Suhonen
57′Cho Gue-SungM. Rajovic
62′S. Johannesen
63′N. GanausC. Gammelgaard
64′F. ArpT. Keskinen
82′T. KeskinenF. Ulvestad
82′J. AskouL. Legolas
85′A. Maxso
87′S. JohannesenHong Hyun-Seok
90′I. Ouedraogo
90′R. Kristensen
90′F. EtimJ. Emefile

MCH Arena, HerningReferee: J. Maae

FC Midtjylland 49%
Draw 25%
Odense 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Midtjylland vs Odense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Midtjylland vs Odense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC MidtjyllandDrawOdense
Model25.2%32.6%42.2%
Market57.0%22.5%20.5%
Final49.0%25.0%25.9%
Edge-8.0%+2.5%+5.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Midtjylland ↓ / Odense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 14% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

FC Midtjylland and Odense expected goals

FC Midtjylland 0.85
Odense 1.18

Total expected goals: 2.04

FC Midtjylland and Odense attack and defence ratings

FC Midtjylland

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Odense

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Midtjylland vs Odense: result vs prediction

FC Midtjylland 2 – 1 Odense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 16 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

FC Midtjylland vs Odense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Midtjylland 49.0% 2.04 -8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score No 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.8% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Midtjylland49.0%
Draw25.0%
Odense25.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.3%
Under 2.566.7%
Both teams to scoreYes41.1%
No58.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.1%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)51.0%
Handicap -1FC Midtjylland win8.7%
Push (exactly one goal)16.5%
Loss74.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-014.4%
0-114.1%

FC Midtjylland vs Odense stats

FC Midtjylland and Odense recent form

newest first
FC Midtjylland WLWDWD
Odense DWDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Midtjylland vs Odense head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7FC Midtjylland wins 2Draws 1Odense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-19OdenseFC MidtjyllandDenmark Superliga1-1
2026-07-17FC MidtjyllandOdenseFriendlies Clubs4-1
2026-02-15OdenseFC MidtjyllandDenmark Superliga1-4
2025-07-20FC MidtjyllandOdenseDenmark Superliga3-3
2023-10-23OdenseFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-2
2023-09-24FC MidtjyllandOdenseSuperliga2-1
2023-06-03FC MidtjyllandOdenseSuperliga4-2
2023-03-31OdenseFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-3
2023-01-27FC MidtjyllandOdenseFriendlies Clubs4-2
2022-10-31FC MidtjyllandOdenseSuperliga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Midtjylland vs Odense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 22.5%, away 20.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 4.10 4.58
Bet365 1.62 4.20 4.50
BetVictor 1.60 4.00 4.50
Betano 1.65 4.25 4.70
Betfair 1.60 4.00 4.40
Dafabet 1.63 4.10 4.50
Marathonbet 1.60 4.10 4.60
Pinnacle 1.65 4.18 4.69
SBO 1.57 3.76 4.15
William Hill 1.62 3.75 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▲ +0.07
X 4.10 ▼ -0.01
2 4.50 ▼ -0.44

6 snapshots recorded, from .