DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 16

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby

1 – 2 Full time

46′F. Bundgaard
52′M. Clement
58′M. StennerA. Liu
58′N. EngellS. Diop
59′J. FernandesO. Mullings
62′P. MortensenO. Fenger
70′M. YounisS. Fukuda
70′C. WintherO. Hyseni
72′M. ClementM. Vesterholm
73′M. Ejdum
76′S. Diop
78′O. Fenger
79′M. EjdumD. Wass
80′L. LarsenM. Divkovic
81′S. Ilsoe
84′A. Koudelka
86′T. HageltornM. Ramkilde
88′A. Benediktsson
90′O. Hyseni
90′N. Engell

Gladsaxe Stadium, CopenhagenReferee: J. Hansen

AB Copenhagen 18%
Draw 23%
Brondby 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AB Copenhagen vs Brondby

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAB CopenhagenDrawBrondby
Model20.7%26.8%52.6%
Market16.9%21.1%62.0%
Final17.8%22.5%59.7%
Edge+0.9%+1.4%-2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Brondby

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.96.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AB Copenhagen ↓ / Brondby → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 10% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

AB Copenhagen and Brondby expected goals

AB Copenhagen 0.96
Brondby 1.66

Total expected goals: 2.61

AB Copenhagen and Brondby attack and defence ratings

AB Copenhagen

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Brondby

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby: result vs prediction

AB Copenhagen 1 – 2 Brondby

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 16 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brondby 59.7% 1.68 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.2% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.4% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AB Copenhagen17.8%
Draw22.5%
Brondby59.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.5%
Under 2.551.5%
Both teams to scoreYes51.1%
No48.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.3%
12 (either side)77.5%
X2 (draw or away)82.2%
Handicap -1Brondby win29.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss47.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
0-111.0%
0-210.0%

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby stats

AB Copenhagen and Brondby recent form

newest first
AB Copenhagen WWWWWL
Brondby WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.9%, draw 21.1%, away 62.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.56 4.30 1.50
Bet365 4.75 5.00 1.48
BetVictor 5.50 4.40 1.45
Betano 5.60 4.40 1.50
Betfair 5.00 4.40 1.44
Dafabet 5.40 4.60 1.48
Marathonbet 5.50 4.30 1.49
Pinnacle 5.47 4.31 1.48
SBO 5.22 4.17 1.44
William Hill 5.00 3.90 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.44 ▲ +0.17
X 4.36 ▼ -0.02
2 1.48 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .