Brabrand
vs
AC Horsens
1 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | S. Doua | ||
| 29′ | J. Bro Christensen | ||
| 49′ | M. Kupijbida | ||
| 53′ | A. Moro | ||
| 56′ | J. TauriainenK. Bimpong | ||
| 62′ | S. ErnstJ. Berwald | ||
| 62′ | L. MollerM. Kjellerup | ||
| 68′ | O. MandrupM. Frandsen | ||
| 72′ | R. Juul | ||
| 77′ | S. VesterbaekM. Tofting | ||
| 78′ | S. DouaA. Bruus | ||
| 78′ | A. MandrupI. Milicevic | ||
| 78′ | F. SeneK. Ehibhatiomhan | ||
| 91′ | J. BatigiY. Ouorou | ||
| 91′ | F. JorgensenJ. Pedersen | ||
| 91′ | A. MoroJ. Bonde | ||
| 95′ | M. Frandsen | ||
| 114′ | R. KirkegaardC. Mihigo | ||
| 116′ | R. Juul | ||
| 116′ | R. Juul | ||
| 120′ | K. Bimpong |
Brabrand vs AC Horsens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brabrand vs AC Horsens
| Probability | Brabrand | Draw | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.3% | 17.5% | 70.2% |
| Market | 15.9% | 21.1% | 63.0% |
| Final | 15.0% | 20.2% | 64.8% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.9% | +1.8% |
Why AC Horsens
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 1.05.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brabrand and AC Horsens expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
Brabrand and AC Horsens attack and defence ratings
Brabrand
AC Horsens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brabrand vs AC Horsens: result vs prediction
Brabrand 1 – 0 AC Horsens
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brabrand vs AC Horsens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Horsens | 64.8% | 1.54 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | AC Horsens win | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brabrand | 15.0% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| AC Horsens | 64.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | AC Horsens win | 49.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 29.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.2% |
| 0-2 | 8.7% | |
| 1-3 | 8.0% |
Brabrand vs AC Horsens stats
Brabrand and AC Horsens recent form
| Brabrand |
WWWL |
| AC Horsens |
WDDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Brabrand vs AC Horsens head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-23 | Brabrand | AC Horsens | DBU Pokalen | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brabrand vs AC Horsens odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.9%, draw 21.1%, away 63.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.07 | 4.40 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 4.50 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.60 | 4.30 | 1.52 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.40 | 1.49 |
| Marathonbet | 6.00 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 5.68 | 4.18 | 1.48 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .