Garuda Lions
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DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 16

Vanløse vs Nykobing FC

0 – 2 Full time

45′O. Balslov
46′T. Egholm
47′O. Jakobsen
61′E. Bodholdt-LarsenL. Gudmann
62′P. Ullum
66′O. BalslovK. Jensen
67′A. RrahmaniM. Rasmussen
67′M. Rasmussen
68′M. SonneP. Allentoft
69′A. BarlachA. Jahic
70′C. Nnamani
72′P. Allentoft
74′E. Ogude
75′N. SekulaM. Brems
75′O. JakobsenB. Kold
75′M. QvarnstromP. Grujovic
75′T. EgholmM. Vinterberg
84′M. DahlO. Gartig
90′L. Nyman

Vanlose Idraetspark, VanloseReferee: J. Nielsen

Vanløse 19%
Draw 20%
Nykobing FC 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vanløse vs Nykobing FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vanløse vs Nykobing FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVanløseDrawNykobing FC
Model23.0%17.4%59.6%
Market17.9%20.5%61.6%
Final19.2%19.7%61.1%
Edge+1.3%-0.8%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Nykobing FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.02 vs 1.93.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vanløse ↓ / Nykobing FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 6% 6% 10% 2 6% 6% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 87%
No goals 1%

Vanløse and Nykobing FC expected goals

Vanløse 1.93
Nykobing FC 3.02

Total expected goals: 4.95

Vanløse and Nykobing FC attack and defence ratings

Vanløse

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Nykobing FC

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vanløse vs Nykobing FC: result vs prediction

Vanløse 0 – 2 Nykobing FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 16 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Vanløse vs Nykobing FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nykobing FC 61.1% 1.64 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.1% 1.15 — —
Both teams to score Yes 81.7% 1.22 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.8% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Nykobing FC win 41.6% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vanløse19.2%
Draw19.7%
Nykobing FC61.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.1%
Under 2.512.9%
Both teams to scoreYes81.7%
No18.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.9%
12 (either side)80.3%
X2 (draw or away)80.8%
Handicap -1Nykobing FC win41.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-36.3%
1-26.2%
2-36.1%

Vanløse vs Nykobing FC stats

Vanløse and Nykobing FC recent form

newest first
Vanløse WWWLW
Nykobing FC DDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Vanløse vs Nykobing FC head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

0Vanløse wins 3Draws 4Nykobing FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-11VanløseNykobing FCFriendlies Clubs1-2
2026-06-13Nykobing FCVanløse3. Division5-1
2026-05-09VanløseNykobing FC3. Division0-3
2026-03-28Nykobing FCVanløse3. Division2-1
2025-08-16VanløseNykobing FC3. Division2-2
2021-04-05Nykobing FCVanløse2nd Division - Group 21-1
2020-10-24VanløseNykobing FC2nd Division - Group 21-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vanløse vs Nykobing FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.9%, draw 20.5%, away 61.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.72 4.55 1.46
Bet365 4.50 5.00 1.55
BetVictor 5.75 4.40 1.44
Betano 4.75 4.25 1.50
Betfair 5.00 4.33 1.44
Dafabet 5.00 4.40 1.53
Marathonbet 5.65 4.55 1.45
Pinnacle 5.00 4.16 1.50
SBO 4.94 4.07 1.43
William Hill 5.00 4.00 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.00 ▼ -0.30
X 4.37 ▲ +0.10
2 1.46 ▼ -0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .