Aarhus Fremad
vs
FC Copenhagen
0 – 3 Full time
| 13′ | A. Markgraf | ||
| 20′ | W. Clem | ||
| 35′ | B. Meling | ||
| 39′ | M. Elyounoussi | ||
| 46′ | M. de ClavilleF. Grube | ||
| 58′ | J. Suzuki | ||
| 61′ | J. BeluliS. Andreasen | ||
| 61′ | C. NygaardS. Baekgard | ||
| 65′ | B. MelingM. Lopez | ||
| 65′ | V. DadasonG. Vianney Ndjee | ||
| 65′ | T. DelaneyM. Madsen | ||
| 66′ | F. Grube | ||
| 71′ | A. Ludwig | ||
| 71′ | E. EgertonM. Kirchheiner | ||
| 76′ | W. ClemA. Kral | ||
| 76′ | M. ElyounoussiG. Olsen | ||
| 78′ | O. HjaltasonA. Pisani | ||
| 85′ | G. Olsen | ||
| 90′ | M. Kirchheiner |
Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen
| Probability | Aarhus Fremad | Draw | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.1% | 25.8% | 67.1% |
| Market | 9.8% | 15.9% | 74.3% |
| Final | 9.1% | 18.4% | 72.5% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +2.5% | -1.8% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.35.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aarhus Fremad and FC Copenhagen expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.90
Aarhus Fremad and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings
Aarhus Fremad
FC Copenhagen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen: result vs prediction
Aarhus Fremad 0 – 3 FC Copenhagen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 72.5% | 1.38 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus Fremad | 9.1% |
| Draw | 18.4% | |
| FC Copenhagen | 72.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.0% |
| No | 76.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 37.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29.2% | |
| Loss | 32.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 22.4% |
| 0-2 | 18.0% | |
| 0-0 | 15.7% |
Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen stats
Aarhus Fremad and FC Copenhagen recent form
| Aarhus Fremad |
DDLLDD |
| FC Copenhagen |
DDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.8%, draw 15.9%, away 74.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 10.20 | 5.90 | 1.23 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.75 | 1.22 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 5.70 | 1.28 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
| Dafabet | 9.20 | 5.80 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 10.25 | 5.90 | 1.22 |
| Pinnacle | 8.96 | 6.28 | 1.24 |
| SBO | 6.86 | 5.03 | 1.25 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.22 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .