Vejle
vs
Aarhus Fremad
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vejle
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.84.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Vejle is the favourite, not a value bet.
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad
| Probability | Vejle | Draw | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 29.8% | 21.2% |
| Market | 60.4% | 21.3% | 18.3% |
| Final | 57.6% | 23.5% | 19.0% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +2.1% | +0.7% |
Why Vejle
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (our 57.6% × 1.55 − 1).
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad match preview
Vejle enters the match against Aarhus Fremad with a probability of 58% to win, while the chances for a draw stand at 23% and Aarhus Fremad at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.40 for Vejle and 0.84 for Aarhus Fremad. Recent form shows Vejle with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, whereas Aarhus Fremad has one win, three draws, and one loss.
In their last encounter, Vejle and Aarhus Fremad played to a draw, with Vejle having no wins against them historically. The model indicates a 39% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 44% likelihood for both teams to score. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vejle and Aarhus Fremad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Vejle and Aarhus Fremad attack and defence ratings
Vejle
Aarhus Fremad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vejle | 57.6% | 1.74 | -2.8% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vejle | 57.6% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Aarhus Fremad | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vejle win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad stats
Vejle and Aarhus Fremad recent form
| Vejle |
WLDLDW |
| Aarhus Fremad |
DLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vejle and Aarhus Fremad season so far
Vejle record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Aarhus Fremad record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Aarhus Fremad | Vejle | Denmark 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Vejle | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2023-02-12 | Vejle | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2022-07-17 | Vejle | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2020-08-17 | Vejle | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.3%, draw 21.3%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.33 | 4.91 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.45 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.33 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.58 | 5.06 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 3.98 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .