Hvidovre
vs
HB Koge
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hvidovre
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Hvidovre vs HB Koge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hvidovre vs HB Koge
| Probability | Hvidovre | Draw | HB Koge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 23.9% | 24.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.7% | 23.9% | 24.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Hvidovre
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Hvidovre vs HB Koge match preview
Hvidovre enters the match against HB Koge with a strong recent form, recording four wins and two draws in their last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 1.96, suggesting a solid attacking performance. In contrast, HB Koge has experienced mixed results, with one win and three draws in their last six matches, leading to an expected goals figure of 1.30.
Historically, Hvidovre has dominated their encounters with HB Koge, winning all four of their last meetings without conceding a draw. The model indicates a 52% probability of a Hvidovre victory, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 being the most likely outcome at 10%. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hvidovre and HB Koge expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.27
Hvidovre and HB Koge attack and defence ratings
Hvidovre
HB Koge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hvidovre vs HB Koge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 51.7% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| HB Koge | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hvidovre win | 30.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Hvidovre vs HB Koge stats
Hvidovre and HB Koge recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hvidovre and HB Koge season so far
Hvidovre record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HB Koge record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Hvidovre vs HB Koge head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | HB Koge | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Hvidovre | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | HB Koge | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-29 | Hvidovre | HB Koge | DBU Pokalen | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.