Esbjerg
vs
Hvidovre
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hvidovre
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Hvidovre is the favourite, not a value bet.
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Esbjerg vs Hvidovre
| Probability | Esbjerg | Draw | Hvidovre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 24.6% | 40.3% |
| Market | 30.6% | 25.4% | 44.0% |
| Final | 31.8% | 25.2% | 43.1% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
Why Hvidovre
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.2% per unit staked (our 43.1% × 2.27 − 1).
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre match preview
Esbjerg faces Hvidovre in the Denmark 1. Division with the model predicting a competitive match. Esbjerg has a 35% chance of winning, while Hvidovre is slightly favored at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Hvidovre, with an 8% probability. Expected goals suggest Esbjerg will score 1.63 and Hvidovre 1.75, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Recent form shows Esbjerg with mixed results, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. In contrast, Hvidovre has been more consistent, with four wins, one draw, and no losses in the same period. The model also indicates a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Esbjerg and Hvidovre expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Esbjerg and Hvidovre attack and defence ratings
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 43.1% | 2.32 | -0.9% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 31.8% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Hvidovre | 43.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hvidovre win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre stats
Esbjerg and Hvidovre recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Esbjerg and Hvidovre season so far
Esbjerg record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hvidovre record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Hvidovre | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Hvidovre | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Esbjerg | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Hvidovre | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-07-26 | Esbjerg | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 25.4%, away 44.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.99 | 3.78 | 2.08 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.27 |
| Marathonbet | 2.97 | 3.78 | 2.06 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 3.61 | 2.13 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.05 |