Kolding IF
vs
HB Koge
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolding IF
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.26.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kolding IF is the favourite, not a value bet.
Kolding IF vs HB Koge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolding IF vs HB Koge
| Probability | Kolding IF | Draw | HB Koge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 25.8% | 26.7% |
| Market | 41.5% | 26.2% | 32.3% |
| Final | 43.0% | 26.1% | 30.9% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.1% | -1.4% |
Why Kolding IF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.26.
Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.6% per unit staked (our 43.0% × 2.31 − 1).
Kolding IF vs HB Koge match preview
Kolding IF faces HB Koge in the Denmark 1. Division with Kolding having a 47% probability of winning, compared to 27% for HB Koge and 26% for a draw. The expected goals for Kolding IF stand at 1.73, while HB Koge is projected at 1.25. The most likely scoreline, according to our model, is 2-1 in favor of Kolding IF, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Kolding IF recording one win in their last six matches (L-W-D-D-D-L) and HB Koge having two wins in their last six (D-L-W-W-D-D). There is a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 60% chance that both teams will find the net during the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kolding IF and HB Koge expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Kolding IF and HB Koge attack and defence ratings
Kolding IF
HB Koge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolding IF vs HB Koge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolding IF | 43.0% | 2.32 | +1.5% | 2.31 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolding IF | 43.0% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| HB Koge | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolding IF win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 52.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 7.6% |
Kolding IF vs HB Koge stats
Kolding IF and HB Koge recent form
| Kolding IF |
LWDDDL |
| HB Koge |
DLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolding IF and HB Koge season so far
Kolding IF record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HB Koge record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Kolding IF vs HB Koge head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | HB Koge | Kolding IF | Denmark 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-17 | HB Koge | Kolding IF | Denmark 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Kolding IF | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kolding IF vs HB Koge odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 26.2%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.54 | 2.87 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.54 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.59 | 2.84 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.75 |