Denmark 1. Division Β· Β·Matchday 13

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

Garuda Lions Prediction: Vejle

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.08.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Vejle is the favourite, not a value bet.

Nord Energi Arena, Hjorring

Vendsyssel FF 24%
Draw 25%
Vejle 52%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Vejle wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVendsyssel FFDrawVejle
Model21.6%25.4%53.0%
Market24.4%24.4%51.2%
Final23.7%24.6%51.6%
Edge-0.7%+0.2%+0.5%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Vejle

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.5% per unit staked (our 51.6% Γ— 1.83 βˆ’ 1).

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle match preview

Vendsyssel FF faces Vejle in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a stronger likelihood for Vejle to secure a win at 53%, compared to Vendsyssel FF's 22% and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected goals suggest Vendsyssel FF will score around 1.08, while Vejle is projected to net approximately 1.79 goals. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability.

In terms of recent form, Vendsyssel FF has struggled, recording three draws and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Vejle has managed one win among their last six games, alongside three draws and two losses. Historical head-to-head results favor Vejle, who has won six of the last ten encounters, while Vendsyssel FF has won three and there has been one draw.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vendsyssel FF ↓ / Vejle β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Vendsyssel FF and Vejle expected goals

Vendsyssel FF 1.08
Vejle 1.79

Total expected goals: 2.87

Vendsyssel FF and Vejle attack and defence ratings

Vendsyssel FF

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Vejle

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vejle 51.6% 1.94 +0.5% 1.83
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.8% 1.83 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 56.1% 1.78 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.3% 1.31 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 47.0% 2.13 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vendsyssel FF23.7%
Draw24.6%
Vejle51.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.8%
Under 2.545.2%
Both teams to scoreYes56.1%
No43.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.4%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)76.3%
Handicap -1Vejle win30.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss47.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-29.8%
0-29.1%

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle stats

Vendsyssel FF and Vejle recent form

newest first
Vendsyssel FF DLLDLD
Vejle DWLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vendsyssel FF and Vejle season so far

league record

Vendsyssel FF record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

Vejle record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Vendsyssel FF wins 1Draws 6Vejle wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-04VejleVendsyssel FFDenmark 1. Division4-1
2023-07-15VejleVendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs1-4
2023-06-04VejleVendsyssel FF1. Division4-3
2023-04-10Vendsyssel FFVejle1. Division0-0
2023-03-05VejleVendsyssel FF1. Division1-0
2022-09-11Vendsyssel FFVejle1. Division2-0
2020-07-10Vendsyssel FFVejle1. Division0-2
2019-10-06VejleVendsyssel FF1. Division1-0
2019-09-10Vendsyssel FFVejleDBU Pokalen1-0
2019-08-10Vendsyssel FFVejle1. Division0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.4%, draw 24.4%, away 51.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.79 3.80 1.81
Betano 3.90 3.75 1.83
Marathonbet 3.78 3.80 1.79
Pinnacle 3.91 3.87 1.81
William Hill 3.75 3.50 1.80

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far β€” movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 2 Vejle Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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