Hobro
vs
Vendsyssel FF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hobro
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF
| Probability | Hobro | Draw | Vendsyssel FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.1% | 26.2% | 35.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.1% | 26.2% | 35.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Hobro
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF match preview
Hobro and Vendsyssel FF are set to face off in a closely contested match, with both teams having a 37% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Hobro stand at 1.53, while Vendsyssel FF is slightly behind at 1.52. Recent form shows Hobro with a record of D-L-D-L-L-W, and Vendsyssel FF at L-D-L-D-L-W, indicating both teams have struggled for consistency.
The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Hobro, with an 8% likelihood. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams have a 62% probability of scoring in the match. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hobro and Vendsyssel FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Hobro and Vendsyssel FF attack and defence ratings
Hobro
Vendsyssel FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hobro | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hobro | 38.1% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Vendsyssel FF | 35.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% |
| No | 37.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hobro win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF stats
Hobro and Vendsyssel FF recent form
| Hobro |
DLDLLW |
| Vendsyssel FF |
LLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hobro and Vendsyssel FF season so far
Hobro record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vendsyssel FF record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Hobro | Vendsyssel FF | DBU Pokalen | 0-4 |
| 2026-08-02 | Vendsyssel FF | Hobro | Denmark 1. Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.