Esbjerg
vs
FC Fredericia
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Fredericia
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia
| Probability | Esbjerg | Draw | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.9% | 26.1% | 46.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.9% | 26.1% | 46.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Fredericia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia match preview
Esbjerg faces FC Fredericia in a Denmark 1. Division clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive matchup. Esbjerg has a 28% chance of winning, while FC Fredericia stands at 46%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of FC Fredericia, with an expected goals tally of 1.28 for Esbjerg and 1.70 for FC Fredericia.
Recent form shows Esbjerg with two draws, a win, and three losses in their last six matches, while FC Fredericia has recorded two wins, three draws, and a loss in the same period. The model suggests a 60% likelihood that both teams will score, and there is a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Esbjerg and FC Fredericia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Esbjerg and FC Fredericia attack and defence ratings
Esbjerg
FC Fredericia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 27.9% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| FC Fredericia | 46.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 7.5% |
Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia stats
Esbjerg and FC Fredericia recent form
| Esbjerg |
DDLWDL |
| FC Fredericia |
WDDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Esbjerg and FC Fredericia season so far
Esbjerg record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Fredericia record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | FC Fredericia | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | FC Fredericia | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-22 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-11 | FC Fredericia | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2024-07-13 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-23 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-17 | FC Fredericia | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-10 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.