Aarhus Fremad
vs
Esbjerg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aarhus Fremad
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg
| Probability | Aarhus Fremad | Draw | Esbjerg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.1% | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.1% | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg attack and defence ratings
Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus Fremad | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus Fremad | 43.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Esbjerg | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aarhus Fremad win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 64.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg stats
Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg recent form
| Aarhus Fremad |
LLDDWD |
| Esbjerg |
LWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg season so far
Aarhus Fremad record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Esbjerg record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Aarhus Fremad | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Esbjerg | Aarhus Fremad | Denmark 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.