Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 11

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg

0 – 0 Full time

70′G. Madsen
70′M. MadenP. Bjur
71′C. NygaardS. Baekgard
71′Y. AbdullahiK. Lunding
71′M. RybergM. de Claville
71′A. AhmadM. Hansen
77′M. Kirchheiner
77′S. Andreasen
78′M. KirchheinerM. Kjolby
87′P. TjornelundL. Vigen
90′S. AndreasenJ. Beluli

Riisvangen, AarhusReferee: M. Thomsen

Aarhus Fremad 40%
Draw 26%
Esbjerg 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAarhus FremadDrawEsbjerg
Model36.3%25.9%37.8%
Market41.0%25.4%33.6%
Final39.9%25.5%34.6%
Edge-1.2%+0.1%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aarhus Fremad ↓ / Esbjerg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg expected goals

Aarhus Fremad 1.55
Esbjerg 1.58

Total expected goals: 3.12

Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg attack and defence ratings

Aarhus Fremad

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Esbjerg

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg: result vs prediction

Aarhus Fremad 0 – 0 Esbjerg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aarhus Fremad 39.9% 2.51 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.5% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.7% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aarhus Fremad39.9%
Draw25.5%
Esbjerg34.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.5%
No36.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.4%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1Aarhus Fremad win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss63.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg stats

Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg recent form

newest first
Aarhus Fremad LLDDWD
Esbjerg DLWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aarhus Fremad record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Esbjerg record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Aarhus Fremad wins 2Draws 5Esbjerg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-04EsbjergAarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs2-0
2025-10-25Aarhus FremadEsbjergDenmark 1. Division0-1
2025-09-28EsbjergAarhus FremadDenmark 1. Division1-1
2024-05-18Aarhus FremadEsbjerg2. Division2-0
2024-04-26EsbjergAarhus Fremad2. Division0-1
2024-03-24EsbjergAarhus Fremad2. Division2-2
2023-10-14Aarhus FremadEsbjerg2. Division2-4
2023-05-21EsbjergAarhus Fremad2. Division3-1
2023-05-14Aarhus FremadEsbjerg2. Division1-3
2023-03-05EsbjergAarhus Fremad2. Division0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 25.5%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 3.66 2.76
Bet365 2.30 3.60 2.75
BetVictor 2.25 3.60 2.75
Betano 2.22 3.60 2.90
Betfair 2.15 3.60 2.75
Dafabet 2.24 3.60 2.90
Marathonbet 2.23 3.66 2.74
Pinnacle 2.33 3.77 2.82
SBO 2.10 3.36 2.80
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.15
X 3.63 ▼ -0.07
2 2.75 ▼ -0.25

10 snapshots recorded, from .