Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 11

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen

2 – 3 Full time

25′R. Brodersen
44′M. Jakobsen
45′M. Rasmussen
46′G. CulhaciM. Warming
47′M. Warming
59′O. Mullings
60′M. Rasmussen
65′M. RasmussenN. Engell
68′N. Engell
68′M. VesterholmM. Clement
69′M. StennerT. Damtoft
69′R. BrodersenN. Jakobsen
69′G. LarsenC. Jensen Tue
69′S. HaldL. Achton
73′M. Clement
73′A. LiuM. Ramkilde
73′O. MullingsF. Lindgaard
75′S. Diop
78′C. Jensen Tue
84′T. Thomsen
84′T. ThomsenE. Semovski
89′A. Benediktsson

Capelli Sport Stadion, KogeReferee: O. A. Stegemuller Fogh Simbold

HB Koge 37%
Draw 26%
AB Copenhagen 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHB KogeDrawAB Copenhagen
Model26.9%27.5%45.6%
Market40.9%25.2%33.9%
Final37.4%25.8%36.8%
Edge-3.5%+0.6%+2.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HB Koge ↓ / AB Copenhagen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

HB Koge and AB Copenhagen expected goals

HB Koge 1.15
AB Copenhagen 1.56

Total expected goals: 2.72

HB Koge and AB Copenhagen attack and defence ratings

HB Koge

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.97 -3%

AB Copenhagen

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen: result vs prediction

HB Koge 2 – 3 AB Copenhagen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HB Koge 37.4% 2.68 -3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.3% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.1% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HB Koge37.4%
Draw25.8%
AB Copenhagen36.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%
Both teams to scoreYes55.3%
No44.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.2%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)62.6%
Handicap -1HB Koge win11.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.7%
Loss73.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
1-29.3%
0-19.1%

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen stats

HB Koge and AB Copenhagen recent form

newest first
HB Koge WWDDDD
AB Copenhagen WWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HB Koge and AB Copenhagen going into this match

league record before kick-off

HB Koge record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

AB Copenhagen record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4HB Koge wins 4Draws 2AB Copenhagen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-24HB KogeAB CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs3-3
2025-01-17HB KogeAB CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs0-0
2023-02-09HB KogeAB CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs5-0
2017-04-05HB KogeAB Copenhagen1. Division0-0
2016-10-23AB CopenhagenHB Koge1. Division2-1
2016-09-18HB KogeAB Copenhagen1. Division1-0
2015-04-19HB KogeAB Copenhagen1. Division3-0
2014-11-02AB CopenhagenHB Koge1. Division2-0
2014-10-29HB KogeAB CopenhagenDBU Pokalen2-1
2014-09-19HB KogeAB Copenhagen1. Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.1%, draw 25.4%, away 34.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.29 3.66 2.70
Bet365 2.25 3.60 2.80
BetVictor 2.25 3.70 2.75
Betano 2.42 3.60 2.65
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.50
Dafabet 2.39 3.65 2.65
Marathonbet 2.27 3.66 2.68
Pinnacle 2.32 3.86 2.79
SBO 2.29 3.37 2.53
William Hill 2.25 3.50 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.26 ▼ -0.41
X 3.66 ▲ +0.02
2 2.73 ▲ +0.43

10 snapshots recorded, from .