AB Copenhagen
vs
Aarhus Fremad
2 – 0 Full time
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad
| Probability | AB Copenhagen | Draw | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 30.4% | 30.6% |
| Market | 44.2% | 26.5% | 29.2% |
| Final | 42.9% | 27.5% | 29.6% |
| Edge | -5.2% | +3.8% | +1.4% |
Why AB Copenhagen
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AB Copenhagen and Aarhus Fremad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
AB Copenhagen and Aarhus Fremad attack and defence ratings
AB Copenhagen
Aarhus Fremad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad: result vs prediction
AB Copenhagen 2 – 0 Aarhus Fremad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AB Copenhagen | 42.9% | 2.33 | -5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AB Copenhagen | 42.9% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Aarhus Fremad | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | AB Copenhagen win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.6% |
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad stats
AB Copenhagen and Aarhus Fremad recent form
| AB Copenhagen |
WWLLLW |
| Aarhus Fremad |
LDDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AB Copenhagen and Aarhus Fremad going into this match
AB Copenhagen record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aarhus Fremad record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-24 | Aarhus Fremad | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | AB Copenhagen | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Aarhus Fremad | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-23 | AB Copenhagen | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division | 3-2 |
| 2024-06-07 | AB Copenhagen | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division | 5-3 |
| 2024-05-11 | Aarhus Fremad | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-17 | AB Copenhagen | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-07 | Aarhus Fremad | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-17 | Aarhus Fremad | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division | 5-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | AB Copenhagen | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 26.5%, away 29.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.50 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.64 | 3.30 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.22 | 2.87 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .