Hillerød
vs
FC Fredericia
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Fredericia
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hillerød vs FC Fredericia
| Probability | Hillerød | Draw | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.0% | 27.3% | 31.7% |
| Market | 17.4% | 21.1% | 61.5% |
| Final | 23.3% | 22.7% | 54.0% |
| Edge | +23.6% | +6.2% | -29.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.54, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia match preview
In the upcoming match between Hillerød and FC Fredericia, the probabilities suggest a stronger likelihood for an FC Fredericia victory at 53%, compared to Hillerød's 24% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of FC Fredericia, with an 8% probability. Both teams show a decent chance of scoring, with a 58% probability for both teams to find the net.
Recent form indicates that Hillerød has had a mixed performance, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. In contrast, FC Fredericia has drawn twice and won once, but also faced two losses in their recent outings. The expected goals for Hillerød stand at 1.52, while FC Fredericia is slightly lower at 1.31, suggesting a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hillerød and FC Fredericia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Hillerød and FC Fredericia attack and defence ratings
Hillerød
FC Fredericia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 54.0% | 1.85 | -29.8% | 1.54 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hillerød | 23.3% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| FC Fredericia | 54.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 68.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 7.8% |
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia stats
Hillerød and FC Fredericia recent form
| Hillerød |
DWLDWW |
| FC Fredericia |
DDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hillerød and FC Fredericia season so far
Hillerød record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Fredericia record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-23 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2023-10-20 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-11 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2023-05-26 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2023-02-19 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-17 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.4%, draw 21.1%, away 61.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.51 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.45 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.40 | 1.54 |
| Marathonbet | 5.45 | 4.50 | 1.47 |
| Pinnacle | 5.39 | 4.70 | 1.52 |
| SBO | 4.83 | 3.92 | 1.46 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .