Hillerød
vs
FC Fredericia
0 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | F. Rieper | ||
| 45′ | A. Bondergaard | ||
| 46′ | F. Hogh JensenJ. Sigurdsson | ||
| 46′ | M. MouritzN. Schmidt | ||
| 46′ | R. CorluH. Sulemana | ||
| 57′ | N. Schmidt | ||
| 60′ | S. OpokuM. Munck | ||
| 60′ | B. Bang-KittilsenC. Jorgensen | ||
| 65′ | O. Lauritsen | ||
| 71′ | W. MadsenA. Dahl | ||
| 71′ | J. LindekildeE. Hansborg | ||
| 71′ | A. NygaardA. Pyndt | ||
| 75′ | S. LarsenW. Glindtvad | ||
| 83′ | D. Haarbo | ||
| 85′ | A. BondergaardN. Thomsen |
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hillerød vs FC Fredericia
| Probability | Hillerød | Draw | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 27.3% | 31.6% |
| Market | 16.5% | 20.8% | 62.7% |
| Final | 22.7% | 22.4% | 54.9% |
| Edge | +6.1% | +1.6% | -7.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hillerød and FC Fredericia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Hillerød and FC Fredericia attack and defence ratings
Hillerød
FC Fredericia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia: result vs prediction
Hillerød 0 – 2 FC Fredericia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 54.9% | 1.82 | -7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hillerød | 22.7% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| FC Fredericia | 54.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 68.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 7.8% |
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia stats
Hillerød and FC Fredericia recent form
| Hillerød |
DWLDWW |
| FC Fredericia |
DDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hillerød and FC Fredericia going into this match
Hillerød record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Fredericia record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-23 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2023-10-20 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-11 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2023-05-26 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2023-02-19 | FC Fredericia | Hillerød | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-17 | Hillerød | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.5%, draw 20.8%, away 62.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.51 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.40 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.45 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.50 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 5.60 | 4.65 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 5.72 | 5.00 | 1.48 |
| SBO | 5.22 | 4.08 | 1.45 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .