FC Fredericia
vs
Hobro
3 – 0 Full time
FC Fredericia vs Hobro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Fredericia vs Hobro
| Probability | FC Fredericia | Draw | Hobro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.4% | 20.9% | 12.7% |
| Market | 65.3% | 20.0% | 14.7% |
| Final | 65.6% | 20.3% | 14.2% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +0.9% | -2.0% |
Why FC Fredericia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Fredericia and Hobro expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
FC Fredericia and Hobro attack and defence ratings
FC Fredericia
Hobro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Fredericia vs Hobro: result vs prediction
FC Fredericia 3 – 0 Hobro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Fredericia vs Hobro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 65.6% | 1.53 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 65.6% |
| Draw | 20.3% | |
| Hobro | 14.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 43.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 33.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
FC Fredericia vs Hobro stats
FC Fredericia and Hobro recent form
| FC Fredericia |
WDDWLL |
| Hobro |
DLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Fredericia and Hobro going into this match
FC Fredericia record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Hobro record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Fredericia vs Hobro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-27 | Hobro | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2024-09-16 | FC Fredericia | Hobro | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-02 | FC Fredericia | Hobro | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Hobro | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-25 | Hobro | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-23 | FC Fredericia | Hobro | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2023-05-05 | FC Fredericia | Hobro | 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-23 | Hobro | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-23 | FC Fredericia | Hobro | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-11 | Hobro | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Fredericia vs Hobro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.8%, draw 20.0%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 4.55 | 6.07 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.38 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.55 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 5.29 | 6.43 |
| SBO | 1.32 | 4.24 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .