Denmark 1. Division
·
·Matchday 11
Kolding IF
vs
Vendsyssel FF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolding IF
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Kolding IF
52%
Draw
25%
Vendsyssel FF
23%
Chance Kolding IF wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes
Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF
| Probability | Kolding IF | Draw | Vendsyssel FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.9% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.9% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kolding IF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.17.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Kolding IF and Vendsyssel FF expected goals
Kolding IF
1.84
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Total expected goals: 3.01
Kolding IF and Vendsyssel FF attack and defence ratings
Kolding IF
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Vendsyssel FF
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolding IF | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolding IF | 51.9% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Vendsyssel FF | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% |
| No | 40.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolding IF win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 48.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF stats
Kolding IF and Vendsyssel FF recent form
| Kolding IF |
DDLLWW |
| Vendsyssel FF |
DLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolding IF and Vendsyssel FF season so far
Kolding IF record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Vendsyssel FF record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.