Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 10

Hobro vs Kolding IF

1 – 1 Full time

13′C. Enemark
14′F. Lesniak
45′L. Laursen
46′A. NoragerM. Doj
65′T. Augustinus-JensenM. Lynge
65′S. YatekeI. Niare
70′O. DorphM. Jacobsen
70′A. NosheO. Meedom
75′A. MannehM. Soomets
77′L. Laursen
77′L. Laursen
80′D. JohannessonJ. Hansen
80′M. PedersenO. Obasi
82′F. Christensen
82′M. Doj
89′R. HaugeA. Breum
90′F. Christensen

DS Arena, HobroReferee: M. Thomsen

Hobro 31%
Draw 27%
Kolding IF 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Hobro vs Kolding IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hobro vs Kolding IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHobroDrawKolding IF
Model22.0%23.1%54.9%
Market34.4%28.2%37.3%
Final31.3%26.9%41.7%
Edge-3.1%-1.3%+4.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Kolding IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.26.
  • The market prices Kolding IF below our published probability: +4.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hobro ↓ / Kolding IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 5% 1 10% 10% 7% 5% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Hobro and Kolding IF expected goals

Hobro 1.26
Kolding IF 2.06

Total expected goals: 3.31

Hobro and Kolding IF attack and defence ratings

Hobro

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Kolding IF

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hobro vs Kolding IF: result vs prediction

Hobro 1 – 1 Kolding IF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Hobro vs Kolding IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kolding IF 41.7% 2.40 +4.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.3% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.1% 2.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hobro31.3%
Draw26.9%
Kolding IF41.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.3%
Under 2.535.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.3%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)68.7%
Handicap -1Kolding IF win33.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss45.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-29.7%
0-27.7%

Hobro vs Kolding IF stats

Hobro and Kolding IF recent form

newest first
Hobro LDLLWW
Kolding IF DDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hobro and Kolding IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hobro record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kolding IF record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.

Hobro vs Kolding IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Hobro wins 3Draws 6Kolding IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-06Kolding IFHobroDenmark 1. Division2-1
2025-09-28HobroKolding IFDenmark 1. Division2-2
2025-03-14Kolding IFHobro1. Division1-0
2024-09-20HobroKolding IF1. Division1-0
2024-05-17Kolding IFHobro1. Division2-1
2024-04-01HobroKolding IF1. Division1-1
2024-03-02Kolding IFHobro1. Division3-1
2023-10-01HobroKolding IF1. Division2-3
2023-07-15Kolding IFHobroFriendlies Clubs3-1
2021-05-14Kolding IFHobro1. Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hobro vs Kolding IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 28.2%, away 37.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.67 3.30 2.45
Bet365 2.70 3.30 2.55
BetVictor 2.70 3.25 2.50
Betano 2.77 3.25 2.50
Betfair 2.63 3.25 2.40
Dafabet 2.75 3.30 2.50
Marathonbet 2.67 3.30 2.45
Pinnacle 2.74 3.41 2.57
SBO 2.59 3.04 2.40
William Hill 2.62 3.10 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.69 ▼ -0.19
X 3.27 ▼ -0.05
2 2.48 ▲ +0.11

14 snapshots recorded, from .