Hobro
vs
Kolding IF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolding IF
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Hobro vs Kolding IF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hobro vs Kolding IF
| Probability | Hobro | Draw | Kolding IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.1% | 23.1% | 54.8% |
| Market | 32.0% | 28.1% | 40.0% |
| Final | 29.5% | 26.8% | 43.7% |
| Edge | -9.8% | -5.0% | +14.8% |
Why Kolding IF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.26.
- The market prices Kolding IF below the model: +14.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.39, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hobro vs Kolding IF match preview
Hobro faces Kolding IF in the Denmark 1. Division with a kickoff set for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 30% chance of a Hobro victory, a 27% likelihood of a draw, and a 43% probability that Kolding IF will win. The expected goals are 1.26 for Hobro and 2.06 for Kolding IF, suggesting a competitive match with a high potential for scoring, as indicated by a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability for both teams to score.
In recent form, Hobro has recorded two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches, while Kolding IF has also struggled, with one win, two losses, and two draws. The head-to-head record shows Hobro has not won against Kolding IF in their last two encounters, with Kolding IF winning once and one match ending in a draw. The overall confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a blend of probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hobro and Kolding IF expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Hobro and Kolding IF attack and defence ratings
Hobro
Kolding IF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hobro vs Kolding IF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolding IF | 43.7% | 2.29 | +14.8% | 2.39 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hobro | 29.5% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Kolding IF | 43.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolding IF win | 33.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.7% |
Hobro vs Kolding IF stats
Hobro and Kolding IF recent form
| Hobro |
LDLLWW |
| Kolding IF |
DDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hobro and Kolding IF season so far
Hobro record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolding IF record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Hobro vs Kolding IF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Kolding IF | Hobro | Denmark 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Hobro | Kolding IF | Denmark 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-14 | Kolding IF | Hobro | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-20 | Hobro | Kolding IF | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-17 | Kolding IF | Hobro | 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-01 | Hobro | Kolding IF | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Kolding IF | Hobro | 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2023-10-01 | Hobro | Kolding IF | 1. Division | 2-3 |
| 2023-07-15 | Kolding IF | Hobro | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-14 | Kolding IF | Hobro | 1. Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hobro vs Kolding IF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 28.1%, away 40.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.30 | 2.36 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.32 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.34 |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.30 | 2.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91 | 3.35 | 2.39 |
| SBO | 2.74 | 3.01 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .