Esbjerg
vs
Aalborg
3 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | J. Foss | ||
| 9′ | J. Ampofo | ||
| 26′ | M. Kubel | ||
| 39′ | M. Brajanac | ||
| 62′ | M. HansenO. Boesen | ||
| 62′ | M. MadenA. Ahmad | ||
| 70′ | M. TielemansM. Kaasa | ||
| 70′ | M. KubelW. Thomsen | ||
| 76′ | G. MadsenL. Vigen | ||
| 79′ | T. PersynF. Borsting | ||
| 85′ | K. NormannK. John | ||
| 85′ | V. MollerA. Hapnes | ||
| 88′ | J. AmpofoN. Strandby | ||
| 89′ | M. Kaasa | ||
| 90′ | L. Vigen | ||
| 90′ | O. Boesen |
Esbjerg vs Aalborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Esbjerg vs Aalborg
| Probability | Esbjerg | Draw | Aalborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.6% | 23.0% | 25.4% |
| Market | 31.4% | 25.6% | 43.1% |
| Final | 36.4% | 24.9% | 38.6% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -0.6% | -4.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Esbjerg and Aalborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Esbjerg and Aalborg attack and defence ratings
Esbjerg
Aalborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Esbjerg vs Aalborg: result vs prediction
Esbjerg 3 – 3 Aalborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Esbjerg vs Aalborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aalborg | 38.6% | 2.59 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 36.4% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Aalborg | 38.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aalborg win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.9% | |
| Loss | 74.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
Esbjerg vs Aalborg stats
Esbjerg and Aalborg recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Esbjerg and Aalborg going into this match
Esbjerg record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Aalborg record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Esbjerg vs Aalborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Aalborg | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Esbjerg | Aalborg | Denmark 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-30 | Esbjerg | Aalborg | DBU Pokalen | 0-2 |
| 2021-06-30 | Aalborg | Esbjerg | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2020-08-19 | Esbjerg | Aalborg | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2020-05-31 | Esbjerg | Aalborg | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2019-08-11 | Aalborg | Esbjerg | Superliga | 4-0 |
| 2018-11-30 | Esbjerg | Aalborg | Superliga | 1-4 |
| 2018-08-27 | Aalborg | Esbjerg | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2016-11-04 | Esbjerg | Aalborg | Superliga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Esbjerg vs Aalborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 25.6%, away 43.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.96 | 3.62 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.18 |
| Marathonbet | 2.94 | 3.62 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 3.73 | 2.20 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.41 | 2.09 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .