Aalborg
vs
Vejle
0 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | M. Duelund | ||
| 23′ | P. Sondergaard | ||
| 36′ | M. TielemansA. Hapnes | ||
| 42′ | C. Sorensen | ||
| 54′ | T. PersynF. Borsting | ||
| 76′ | W. FaghirG. Marcussen | ||
| 82′ | K. NormannW. Thomsen | ||
| 82′ | M. KubelK. John | ||
| 82′ | T. GundelundM. Vestergaard | ||
| 82′ | E. MakolliN. A. Arnorsson | ||
| 90′ | N. A. Arnorsson | ||
| 90′ | L. FromM. Jensen |
Aalborg vs Vejle overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aalborg vs Vejle
| Probability | Aalborg | Draw | Vejle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 23.7% | 49.0% |
| Market | 30.7% | 25.5% | 43.8% |
| Final | 29.9% | 25.0% | 45.1% |
| Edge | -3.4% | -1.8% | +5.2% |
Why Vejle
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.44.
- The market prices Vejle below the model: +5.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aalborg and Vejle expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.42
Aalborg and Vejle attack and defence ratings
Aalborg
Vejle
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aalborg vs Vejle: result vs prediction
Aalborg 0 – 1 Vejle
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aalborg vs Vejle markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vejle | 45.1% | 2.22 | +5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aalborg | 29.9% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Vejle | 45.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.7% |
| No | 33.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vejle win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 6.8% |
Aalborg vs Vejle stats
Aalborg and Vejle recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aalborg and Vejle going into this match
Aalborg record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Vejle record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Aalborg vs Vejle head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-28 | Aalborg | Vejle | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Vejle | Aalborg | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Aalborg | Vejle | Superliga | 3-3 |
| 2024-10-04 | Vejle | Aalborg | Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2022-03-06 | Aalborg | Vejle | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2021-08-16 | Vejle | Aalborg | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2021-07-03 | Vejle | Aalborg | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-19 | Aalborg | Vejle | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-16 | Vejle | Aalborg | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2021-03-14 | Vejle | Aalborg | Superliga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aalborg vs Vejle odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 25.4%, away 44.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.78 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.65 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.65 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.78 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.33 | 3.39 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 2.77 | 3.29 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .