Vendsyssel FF
vs
HB Koge
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vendsyssel FF
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge
| Probability | Vendsyssel FF | Draw | HB Koge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.7% | 26.5% | 35.9% |
| Market | 42.0% | 27.2% | 30.8% |
| Final | 40.9% | 27.0% | 32.0% |
| Edge | -4.3% | -0.8% | +5.1% |
Why Vendsyssel FF
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge match preview
Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge are set to face off in the Denmark 1. Division on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a slight edge for Vendsyssel FF with a 38% probability of winning, while HB Koge stands at 36%, and a draw is estimated at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Vendsyssel FF, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with 62% likelihood for both teams to find the net.
In terms of recent form, Vendsyssel FF has recorded two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while HB Koge has had one win and four draws in their last five encounters. The expected goals for Vendsyssel FF is 1.53, closely followed by HB Koge at 1.49. The model suggests a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge attack and defence ratings
Vendsyssel FF
HB Koge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vendsyssel FF | 40.9% | 2.44 | -4.3% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vendsyssel FF | 40.9% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| HB Koge | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vendsyssel FF win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 62.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge stats
Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge recent form
| Vendsyssel FF |
DLDLWW |
| HB Koge |
WDDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge season so far
Vendsyssel FF record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
HB Koge record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 27.2%, away 30.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.38 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.38 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.37 | 3.17 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.07 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .