Denmark 1. Division Β· Β·Matchday 13

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Fredericia

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” FC Fredericia is the favourite, not a value bet.

Monjasa Park, Fredericia

FC Fredericia 58%
Draw 22%
AB Copenhagen 20%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance FC Fredericia wins
58%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
50%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC FredericiaDrawAB Copenhagen
Model40.5%29.8%29.7%
Market63.3%19.4%17.2%
Final57.6%22.0%20.4%
Edge-5.7%+2.6%+3.1%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.5% per unit staked (our 57.6% Γ— 1.57 βˆ’ 1).

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen match preview

FC Fredericia faces AB Copenhagen in a Denmark 1. Division match on October 31, 2026. According to our model, FC Fredericia has a 40% chance of winning, while both a draw and an AB Copenhagen victory are estimated at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of FC Fredericia, with a 10% probability. Expected goals for FC Fredericia stand at 1.32, compared to 1.10 for AB Copenhagen.

Recent form shows FC Fredericia with a record of L-W-W-D-D-W, while AB Copenhagen has been strong, winning four of their last five matches before suffering one loss. In their last head-to-head encounter, there were no wins for either team, with one draw recorded. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Fredericia ↓ / AB Copenhagen β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

FC Fredericia and AB Copenhagen expected goals

FC Fredericia 1.33
AB Copenhagen 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.43

FC Fredericia and AB Copenhagen attack and defence ratings

FC Fredericia

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.68 -32%

AB Copenhagen

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Fredericia 57.6% 1.74 -5.7% 1.57
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.98 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.6% 1.26 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.5% 1.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Fredericia57.6%
Draw22.0%
AB Copenhagen20.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.6%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)42.4%
Handicap -1FC Fredericia win19.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss59.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-010.4%
0-010.1%

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen stats

FC Fredericia and AB Copenhagen recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Fredericia and AB Copenhagen season so far

league record

FC Fredericia record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.

AB Copenhagen record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FC Fredericia wins 1Draws 0AB Copenhagen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-31AB CopenhagenFC FredericiaDenmark 1. Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.3%, draw 19.4%, away 17.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.45 4.80 5.46
Betano 1.57 4.25 5.10
Dafabet 1.54 4.30 5.00
Marathonbet 1.44 4.80 5.40
Pinnacle 1.47 4.79 5.45

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far β€” movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 1 FC Fredericia Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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