Vejle
vs
FC Fredericia
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Fredericia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Fredericia is the favourite, not a value bet.
Vejle vs FC Fredericia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vejle vs FC Fredericia
| Probability | Vejle | Draw | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.0% | 30.2% | 38.8% |
| Market | 34.5% | 27.0% | 38.5% |
| Final | 33.6% | 27.8% | 38.6% |
| Edge | -0.9% | +0.8% | +0.1% |
Why FC Fredericia
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.6% per unit staked (our 38.6% × 2.50 − 1).
Vejle vs FC Fredericia match preview
Vejle faces FC Fredericia in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a closely contested game, with Vejle at 35% to win, a draw at 28%, and FC Fredericia slightly favored at 37%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with a 10% probability. Vejle has an expected goals figure of 1.12, while FC Fredericia stands at 1.28, suggesting a slight advantage for the visitors in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, Vejle has recorded two draws, a win, and three losses in their last six matches, while FC Fredericia has been more consistent with three wins, two draws, and a loss in the same period. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Vejle has secured four wins, with Fredericia winning just once and five matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vejle and FC Fredericia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Vejle and FC Fredericia attack and defence ratings
Vejle
FC Fredericia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vejle vs FC Fredericia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 38.6% | 2.59 | +0.1% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vejle | 33.6% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| FC Fredericia | 38.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.5% | |
| 0-1 | 10.4% |
Vejle vs FC Fredericia stats
Vejle and FC Fredericia recent form
| Vejle |
DDWLDL |
| FC Fredericia |
WLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vejle and FC Fredericia season so far
Vejle record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FC Fredericia record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Vejle vs FC Fredericia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | FC Fredericia | Vejle | Denmark 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vejle | FC Fredericia | Denmark Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-13 | FC Fredericia | Vejle | Denmark Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-09 | Vejle | FC Fredericia | Denmark Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-15 | FC Fredericia | Vejle | Denmark Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-06 | Vejle | FC Fredericia | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2023-03-12 | Vejle | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2023-02-11 | FC Fredericia | Vejle | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-12 | FC Fredericia | Vejle | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-01 | FC Fredericia | Vejle | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vejle vs FC Fredericia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 27.0%, away 38.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.48 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.41 | 2.50 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.26 | 2.22 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .