Garuda Lions
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Denmark 1. Division · ·Matchday 14

Hillerød vs Kolding IF

Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolding IF

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kolding IF is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Kolding IF

Helsingor Stadion, HelsingorReferee: O. A. Stegemuller Fogh Simbold

Hillerød 33%
Draw 27%
Kolding IF 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Kolding IF wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Hillerød vs Kolding IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hillerød vs Kolding IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHillerødDrawKolding IF
Model36.5%27.1%36.3%
Market31.6%27.5%40.8%
Final32.9%27.4%39.7%
Edge+1.2%-0.1%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.5% per unit staked (our 39.7% × 2.38 − 1).

Hillerød vs Kolding IF match preview

Hillerød faces Kolding IF in a closely matched encounter, with probabilities indicating Kolding IF at 41%, Hillerød at 32%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at an 8% probability. Both teams show a strong likelihood of scoring, with 60% for both teams to score and an expectation of over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Recent form reveals Hillerød with a record of L-W-L-L-D-W, while Kolding IF has a slightly better run of W-L-W-D-D-D. In their last ten head-to-head meetings, Kolding IF has the upper hand with 5 wins compared to Hillerød's 1 win and 4 draws. The expected goals for Hillerød stand at 1.45, while Kolding IF is at 1.44, indicating a balanced matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hillerød ↓ / Kolding IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Hillerød and Kolding IF expected goals

Hillerød 1.45
Kolding IF 1.44

Total expected goals: 2.89

Hillerød and Kolding IF attack and defence ratings

Hillerød

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Kolding IF

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Hillerød vs Kolding IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kolding IF 39.7% 2.52 -1.1% 2.38
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.6% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.7% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hillerød32.9%
Draw27.4%
Kolding IF39.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.3%
Under 2.544.7%
Both teams to scoreYes59.6%
No40.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.3%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)67.1%
Handicap -1Kolding IF win17.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss63.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
2-18.4%
1-28.4%
Compare prices for this pick

Hillerød vs Kolding IF stats

Hillerød and Kolding IF recent form

newest first
Hillerød LWLLDW
Kolding IF WLWDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hillerød and Kolding IF season so far

league record

Hillerød record

  • They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kolding IF record

  • They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hillerød vs Kolding IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Hillerød wins 4Draws 5Kolding IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-18Kolding IFHillerødDenmark 1. Division1-1
2026-05-25Kolding IFHillerødDenmark 1. Division3-0
2026-04-25HillerødKolding IFDenmark 1. Division2-0
2025-11-01HillerødKolding IFDenmark 1. Division1-1
2025-08-29Kolding IFHillerødDenmark 1. Division0-0
2024-10-18Kolding IFHillerød1. Division3-1
2024-08-30HillerødKolding IF1. Division0-3
2023-11-25HillerødKolding IF1. Division1-3
2023-07-29Kolding IFHillerød1. Division2-1
2021-11-20HillerødKolding IF2. Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hillerød vs Kolding IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 27.5%, away 40.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.94 3.34 2.27
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.30
BetVictor 2.88 3.50 2.25
Betano 2.95 3.45 2.27
Betfair 2.80 3.30 2.25
Dafabet 2.95 3.45 2.27
Marathonbet 2.92 3.34 2.25
Pinnacle 2.96 3.42 2.38
SBO 2.67 3.05 2.13
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.30
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.93 ▼ -0.12
X 3.37 ▼ -0.05
2 2.27 ▲ +0.12

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Kolding IF Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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