FC Copenhagen
vs
Odense
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Copenhagen
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.76.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Copenhagen is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Copenhagen vs Odense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Copenhagen vs Odense
| Probability | FC Copenhagen | Draw | Odense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.2% | 23.5% | 13.3% |
| Market | 64.8% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| Final | 64.4% | 20.6% | 15.0% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +1.0% | -0.6% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.76.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.4% per unit staked (our 64.4% × 1.50 − 1).
FC Copenhagen vs Odense match preview
FC Copenhagen enters this matchup with a strong probability of winning at 68%, while Odense's chances sit at 13%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.93 for FC Copenhagen and 0.65 for Odense. Recent form shows FC Copenhagen with two wins in their last three matches, while Odense has experienced mixed results, including one loss in their last six games.
In terms of scoring, there is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score 42% of the time. Historically, FC Copenhagen has dominated their recent encounters with Odense, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings, while Odense has managed only 2 victories in that span. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
FC Copenhagen and Odense team news
FC Copenhagen news
- A. Kral — inactive
- M. Mattsson — knee injury
- T. Maseko — inactive
Odense news
- J. Niemiec — knee injury
- P. Therkildsen — injury
- W. Martin — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Copenhagen and Odense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
FC Copenhagen and Odense attack and defence ratings
FC Copenhagen
Odense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Copenhagen vs Odense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 64.4% | 1.55 | -0.4% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 64.4% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Odense | 15.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 36.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-1 | 11.2% |
FC Copenhagen vs Odense stats
FC Copenhagen and Odense recent form
| FC Copenhagen |
DDWLWW |
| Odense |
WDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Copenhagen and Odense season so far
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Odense record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Copenhagen vs Odense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Odense | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 0-5 |
| 2026-04-22 | FC Copenhagen | Odense | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Odense | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Odense | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Copenhagen | Odense | Denmark Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Odense | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2023-08-11 | FC Copenhagen | Odense | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-05 | FC Copenhagen | Odense | Superliga | 7-0 |
| 2022-09-10 | Odense | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-02-20 | FC Copenhagen | Odense | Superliga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Copenhagen vs Odense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 19.8%, away 15.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.80 | 6.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.65 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.80 | 6.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.93 | 5.63 |
| SBO | 1.32 | 4.42 | 6.28 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .