FK Crvena Zvezda
vs
FC Copenhagen
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Copenhagen
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen
| Probability | FK Crvena Zvezda | Draw | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 30.7% | 35.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.9% | 30.7% | 35.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen match preview
FK Crvena Zvezda faces FC Copenhagen in the UEFA Europa Conference League with both teams showing strong recent form. FK Crvena Zvezda has recorded three wins followed by a draw and two more victories, while FC Copenhagen boasts an impressive six consecutive wins. According to our model, FK Crvena Zvezda has a 34% chance of winning, a draw stands at 31%, and FC Copenhagen slightly edges with a 35% probability of victory.
The expected goals for FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.15, while FC Copenhagen has a marginally higher expected goals figure of 1.19. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score with a likelihood of 49%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings
FK Crvena Zvezda
FC Copenhagen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 33.9% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| FC Copenhagen | 35.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-1 | 10.1% |
FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen stats
FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen recent form
| FK Crvena Zvezda |
WWWDWW |
| FC Copenhagen |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen season so far
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.