UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen

2 – 2 Full time

12′Junnosuke Suzuki
22′Yuta Nakayama
29′M. Gashtarov
34′T. Elsnik
38′Rade Krunić
40′Hunor Németh
41′V. Kostov
46′J. SuzukiA. Markgraf
46′A. CorneliusV. Dadason
62′T. HandelM. Cham
62′R. HuescasM. Lopez
62′RobertM. Madsen
70′M. Carrizo
80′M. CarrizoM. Elyounoussi
84′V. KostovM. Abu Fani
84′V. LucicL. Loizou
90′Stefan Gudelj

Stadion Rajko Mit, BelgradeReferee: R. M. Petrescu

FK Crvena Zvezda 41%
Draw 27%
FC Copenhagen 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
58 Possession % 42
4 Corners 6
9 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
504 Accurate passes 334

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK Crvena ZvezdaDrawFC Copenhagen
Model39.5%28.1%32.5%
Market41.0%26.8%32.2%
Final40.6%27.1%32.3%
Edge-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FK Crvena Zvezda

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Crvena Zvez ↓ / FC Copenhagen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen expected goals

FK Crvena Zvezda 1.43
FC Copenhagen 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.72

FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.75 -25%

FC Copenhagen

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen: result vs prediction

FK Crvena Zvezda 2 – 2 FC Copenhagen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda 40.6% 2.46 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.7% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Crvena Zvezda40.6%
Draw27.1%
FC Copenhagen32.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.1%
Under 2.548.9%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.7%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)59.4%
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss60.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-18.7%
1-08.2%

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen stats

FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Copenhagen record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0FK Crvena Zvezda wins 2Draws 0FC Copenhagen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-08-13FC CopenhagenFK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League2-2
2019-08-06FK Crvena ZvezdaFC CopenhagenUEFA Champions League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 26.8%, away 32.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.37 3.50 3.04
Bet365 2.30 3.50 2.90
BetVictor 2.25 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.35 3.55 2.95
Betfair 2.25 3.50 2.90
Dafabet 2.35 3.65 2.95
Marathonbet 2.28 3.38 2.93
Pinnacle 2.31 3.62 3.02
SBO 2.11 3.19 2.75
William Hill 2.25 3.40 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.29 ▼ -0.19
X 3.50 ▼ -0.08
2 2.92 ▲ +0.22

12 snapshots recorded, from .