Pafos
vs
Riga
1 – 1 Full time
| 46′ | A. BritoI. Sunjic | ||
| 49′ | Ivan Šunjić | ||
| 61′ | J. CorreiaD. Quina | ||
| 65′ | Anderson SilvaLele | ||
| 66′ | Reginaldo RamiresM. Badamosi | ||
| 66′ | M. DiopCaio Ferreira | ||
| 67′ | Caio Ferreira | ||
| 71′ | GugaK. Sema | ||
| 76′ | Biel | ||
| 78′ | R. AouaniA. Cernomordijs | ||
| 87′ | Ken Sema | ||
| 88′ | S. Oulad M'HandC. Saco | ||
| 90′ | Maksims Tonisevs |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 330 | Accurate passes | 334 |
Pafos vs Riga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pafos vs Riga
| Probability | Pafos | Draw | Riga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.5% | 31.1% | 33.4% |
| Market | 59.1% | 23.3% | 17.7% |
| Final | 53.2% | 25.2% | 21.6% |
| Edge | -5.9% | +2.0% | +3.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pafos and Riga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Pafos and Riga attack and defence ratings
Pafos
Riga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pafos vs Riga: result vs prediction
Pafos 1 – 1 Riga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
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- FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats
- Getafe vs FC Lugano — team news & stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats
- FK Jablonec v Brighton — match page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
Before and after this match
Pafos vs Riga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 53.2% | 1.88 | -5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 53.2% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Riga | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pafos win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.5% |
Pafos vs Riga stats
Pafos and Riga recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pafos and Riga going into this match
Riga record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Pafos vs Riga head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Pafos vs Riga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 23.3%, away 17.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.05 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.17 | 5.65 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 3.60 | 4.59 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .