UEFA Europa Conference League · ·League Stage - 2

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Iberia 1999

1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability

Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi

FC Iberia 1999 60%
Draw 25%
Mjallby AIF 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC Iberia 1999 wins
60%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Iberia 1999DrawMjallby AIF
Model59.6%25.2%15.1%
Market———
Final59.6%25.2%15.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Iberia 1999

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF match preview

FC Iberia 1999 faces Mjallby AIF in the UEFA Europa Conference League with a probability of 60% for a home win, while a draw stands at 25% and an away win for Mjallby AIF at 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, with a 13% chance. The expected goals for FC Iberia 1999 is 1.76, compared to Mjallby AIF's 0.78, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.

In terms of recent form, FC Iberia 1999 has recorded two losses, one win, and two draws in their last six matches, while Mjallby AIF has struggled with six consecutive matches without a win, including four draws. The model suggests a 47% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 46% probability for both teams to score, reflecting a competitive matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Iberia 1999 ↓ / Mjallby AIF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF expected goals

FC Iberia 1999 1.76
Mjallby AIF 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.54

FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings

FC Iberia 1999

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Mjallby AIF

Attack 0.53 -47%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Iberia 1999 59.6% 1.68 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score No 54.2% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.9% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.4% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Iberia 199959.6%
Draw25.2%
Mjallby AIF15.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes45.8%
No54.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.9%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)40.4%
Handicap -1FC Iberia 1999 win34.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.8%
2-012.2%
1-111.9%

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF stats

FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF recent form

newest first
FC Iberia 1999 LLWDDL
Mjallby AIF LLDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 FC Iberia 1999 Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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