Kairat Almaty
vs
Panathinaikos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panathinaikos
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos
| Probability | Kairat Almaty | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 29.5% | 47.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.2% | 29.5% | 47.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Panathinaikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos match preview
Kairat Almaty faces Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa Conference League with a kickoff scheduled for October 22, 2026. According to our model, Kairat Almaty has a 23% probability of winning, while Panathinaikos is favored at 47%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 12% probability. Expected goals are calculated at 0.92 for Kairat Almaty and 1.42 for Panathinaikos, indicating a stronger offensive performance from the visitors.
In terms of recent form, Kairat Almaty has recorded two losses followed by three wins, then another loss, while Panathinaikos is on a six-match winning streak. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 41%, and both teams to score is at 47%. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos attack and defence ratings
Kairat Almaty
Panathinaikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats
- Getafe vs FC Lugano — team news & stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats
- FK Jablonec v Brighton — match page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos vs Riga
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
Before and after this match
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 23.2% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Panathinaikos | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos stats
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos recent form
| Kairat Almaty |
LLWWWL |
| Panathinaikos |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos season so far
Panathinaikos record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.