Kairat Almaty
vs
Panathinaikos
1 – 5 Full time
| 6′ | V. Taborda | ||
| 24′ | C. Dessers | ||
| 25′ | Erkin Tapalov | ||
| 32′ | O. BaybekA. Shirobokov | ||
| 45′ | Aleksandr Mrynskiy | ||
| 45′ | Erik Palmer Brown | ||
| 46′ | EdmilsonO. Jukkola | ||
| 47′ | C. Dessers | ||
| 56′ | E. CamaraK. Kangwa | ||
| 56′ | C. DessersE. Rastoder | ||
| 57′ | K. Kangwa | ||
| 65′ | L. MataL. Kurgin | ||
| 65′ | J. OksanenD. Kasabulat | ||
| 65′ | M. GualI. Bekbolat | ||
| 65′ | I. LouzaP. Chirivella | ||
| 65′ | S. AndinoF. Pellistri | ||
| 75′ | S. de VrijG. Katris | ||
| 75′ | E. Rastoder | ||
| 77′ | Kings Kangwa | ||
| 79′ | I. Bekbolat |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 277 | Accurate passes | 417 |
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos
| Probability | Kairat Almaty | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.9% | 29.6% | 37.5% |
| Market | 18.4% | 23.7% | 57.9% |
| Final | 22.0% | 25.2% | 52.8% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +1.5% | -5.1% |
Why Panathinaikos
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos attack and defence ratings
Kairat Almaty
Panathinaikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: result vs prediction
Kairat Almaty 1 – 5 Panathinaikos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats
- Getafe vs FC Lugano — team news & stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats
- FK Jablonec v Brighton — match page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos vs Riga
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
Before and after this match
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 52.8% | 1.90 | -5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 22.0% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Panathinaikos | 52.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 62.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 9.5% |
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos stats
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos recent form
| WDWLLW | |
| WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos going into this match
Panathinaikos record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.7%, draw 23.7%, away 57.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.18 | 4.03 | 1.68 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 3.90 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.10 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.69 |
| Marathonbet | 5.00 | 3.88 | 1.62 |
| Pinnacle | 5.61 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 4.35 | 3.45 | 1.60 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .