Getafe
vs
FC Lugano
2 – 5 Full time
| 2′ | I. Azon | ||
| 3′ | A. Ajeti | ||
| 7′ | Y. Cimignani | ||
| 13′ | Yanis Cimignani | ||
| 20′ | Uran Bislimi | ||
| 23′ | Borja Mayoral | ||
| 26′ | A. Ajeti | ||
| 46′ | DavinchiJ. Mojica | ||
| 46′ | A. RiscoN. Gudelj | ||
| 46′ | A. AbqarR. Terrats | ||
| 46′ | Kiko FemeniaM. Satriano | ||
| 50′ | U. Bislimi | ||
| 57′ | Dereck Moncada | ||
| 59′ | Y. CimignaniM. Marques | ||
| 59′ | D. MoncadaE. Pihlstrom | ||
| 66′ | I. AzonE. Unal | ||
| 66′ | A. AjetiK. Behrens | ||
| 70′ | Lars Lukas Mai | ||
| 73′ | Mattia Zanotti | ||
| 74′ | B. Mayoral | ||
| 75′ | M. ZanottiE. Alioski | ||
| 75′ | D. Dos SantosB. Karimov | ||
| 90′ | K. Behrens |
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 15 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 432 | Accurate passes | 288 |
Getafe vs FC Lugano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Getafe vs FC Lugano
| Probability | Getafe | Draw | FC Lugano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.8% | 16.5% | 74.7% |
| Market | 48.6% | 28.5% | 22.9% |
| Final | 38.6% | 25.5% | 35.9% |
| Edge | -9.9% | -3.0% | +12.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Getafe and FC Lugano expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Getafe and FC Lugano attack and defence ratings
Getafe
FC Lugano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Getafe vs FC Lugano: result vs prediction
Getafe 2 – 5 FC Lugano
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos — match page
- FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats
- FK Jablonec v Brighton — match page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos vs Riga
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
Before and after this match
Getafe vs FC Lugano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Getafe | 38.6% | 2.59 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Getafe | 38.6% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| FC Lugano | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Getafe win | 2.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 6.0% | |
| Loss | 91.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.2% |
| 0-3 | 9.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.1% |
Getafe vs FC Lugano stats
Getafe and FC Lugano recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Getafe and FC Lugano going into this match
FC Lugano record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Getafe vs FC Lugano head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Getafe vs FC Lugano odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 28.5%, away 22.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.38 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.45 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.00 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.26 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.36 | 4.27 |
| SBO | 1.75 | 3.10 | 3.91 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .