Schweizer Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Pully Football vs FC Lugano

0 – 4 Full time

5′M. Marques
10′D. Isabella
16′E. Alioski
25′M. Zanotti
45′D. Kelvin
54′M. ComisettiY. Djelloul
54′S. Pinheiro LyE. Parra
55′D. IsabellaH. D'Aquino
56′M. Marques
56′M. ZanottiCarbone
57′E. PihlstromG. Ajdin
66′H. Clerc
69′C. MastN. Lokengi
72′D. MoncadaA. Ajeti
80′M. MarquesB. Karimov
80′C. LudiA. Mehraz
Pully Football 2%
Draw 6%
FC Lugano 93%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Pully Football vs FC Lugano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pully Football vs FC Lugano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPully FootballDrawFC Lugano
Model1.6%5.8%92.6%
Market———
Final1.6%5.8%92.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Lugano

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.82 vs 0.49.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pully Football ↓ / FC Lugano → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 32% 1 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Pully Football and FC Lugano expected goals

Pully Football 0.49
FC Lugano 3.82

Total expected goals: 4.31

Pully Football and FC Lugano attack and defence ratings

Pully Football

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.83 -17%

FC Lugano

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pully Football vs FC Lugano: result vs prediction

Pully Football 0 – 4 FC Lugano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Schweizer Cup

Before and after this match

Pully Football vs FC Lugano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Lugano 92.6% 1.08 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.4% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score No 61.8% 1.62 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 98.4% 1.02 — —
Handicap -1 FC Lugano win 81.1% 1.23 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pully Football1.6%
Draw5.8%
FC Lugano92.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.4%
Under 2.519.6%
Both teams to scoreYes38.2%
No61.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)7.4%
12 (either side)94.2%
X2 (draw or away)98.4%
Handicap -1FC Lugano win81.1%
Push (exactly one goal)11.5%
Loss7.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-312.5%
0-411.9%
0-29.8%

Pully Football vs FC Lugano stats

Pully Football and FC Lugano recent form

newest first
Pully Football W
FC Lugano WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Pully Football vs FC Lugano head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Pully Football vs FC Lugano odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.