Cham
vs
FC Sion
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Sion
0 – 3 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Cham vs FC Sion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cham vs FC Sion
| Probability | Cham | Draw | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.0% | 12.3% | 81.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 6.0% | 12.3% | 81.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Sion
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.09 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Cham vs FC Sion match preview
Cham faces a challenging matchup against FC Sion in the Schweizer Cup, with model probabilities heavily favoring the visitors at 82%. The expected goals suggest a significant disparity, with Cham projected to score 0.80 and FC Sion at 3.09. The most likely scoreline is 0-3, reflecting FC Sion's strong offensive capabilities.
Recent form indicates Cham has had mixed results, winning two of their last four matches, while FC Sion has been more consistent, recording four wins and one draw in their last six outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 75%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 53%. Overall, the analysis points to a dominant performance from FC Sion.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cham and FC Sion expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.89
Cham and FC Sion attack and defence ratings
Cham
FC Sion
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen — team news & stats
- Rotkreuz v Servette FC — match page
- Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 — team news & stats
- Bulle v FC WIL 1900 — match page
- Köniz v Brühl — match page
- Grenchen v Grasshoppers — match page
- FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern
- Old Boys vs Yverdon Sport — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cham vs FC Sion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Sion | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cham | 6.0% |
| Draw | 12.3% | |
| FC Sion | 81.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 18.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 94.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win | 64.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 18.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 10.0% |
| 0-2 | 9.8% | |
| 1-3 | 8.1% |