FC Sion
vs
Lausanne
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Sion
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.53.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Sion is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Sion vs Lausanne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Sion vs Lausanne
| Probability | FC Sion | Draw | Lausanne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.3% | 22.6% | 27.0% |
| Market | 62.7% | 20.2% | 17.1% |
| Final | 59.6% | 20.8% | 19.6% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +0.6% | +2.5% |
Why FC Sion
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.51, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.0% per unit staked (our 59.6% × 1.51 − 1).
FC Sion vs Lausanne match preview
FC Sion is set to face Lausanne in the Switzerland Super League, with a kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, FC Sion has a 50% probability of winning, while Lausanne stands at 27%, and a draw is estimated at 23%. The expected goals are 2.11 for FC Sion and 1.53 for Lausanne, indicating a strong offensive performance from Sion. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring at a 9% probability, and there is a 70% chance for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
In terms of recent form, FC Sion has shown a strong performance with three consecutive wins, while Lausanne has struggled, with five losses in their last six matches. The head-to-head record favors FC Sion, who has one win and two draws against Lausanne in their last three encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Sion and Lausanne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.64
FC Sion and Lausanne attack and defence ratings
FC Sion
Lausanne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Sion vs Lausanne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Sion | 59.6% | 1.68 | -3.1% | 1.51 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Sion | 59.6% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Lausanne | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
FC Sion vs Lausanne stats
FC Sion and Lausanne recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Sion and Lausanne season so far
FC Sion record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Lausanne record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Sion vs Lausanne head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | FC Sion | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Lausanne | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Sion | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Sion vs Lausanne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 20.4%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.65 | 5.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.45 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.65 | 5.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.74 | 5.49 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 4.14 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .