Garuda Lions
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Switzerland Super League · ·Matchday 11

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz

Garuda Lions Prediction: Servette FC

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.34.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Servette FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Servette FC

Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz

Servette FC 54%
Draw 23%
FC Vaduz 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Servette FC wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Servette FC vs FC Vaduz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityServette FCDrawFC Vaduz
Model58.6%21.0%20.4%
Market52.0%23.4%24.6%
Final53.6%22.8%23.6%
Edge+1.6%-0.6%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Servette FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.34.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (our 53.6% × 1.85 − 1).

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz match preview

Servette FC is favored to win against FC Vaduz with a probability of 55%, while a draw is estimated at 22% and a Vaduz victory at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Servette FC is expected to generate 2.32 expected goals, compared to FC Vaduz's 1.34.

In terms of recent form, Servette FC has recorded two wins, one loss, and two additional wins in their last five matches, while FC Vaduz has alternated between wins and losses, with three wins and three losses in their recent games. The model indicates a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 67%. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Servette FC ↓ / FC Vaduz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 7% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Servette FC and FC Vaduz expected goals

Servette FC 2.32
FC Vaduz 1.34

Total expected goals: 3.66

Servette FC and FC Vaduz attack and defence ratings

Servette FC

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.71 -29%

FC Vaduz

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Servette FC 53.6% 1.86 +1.6% 1.85
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.3% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.4% 2.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Servette FC53.6%
Draw22.8%
FC Vaduz23.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes67.3%
No32.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.4%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)46.4%
Handicap -1Servette FC win37.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss41.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.3%
1-18.8%
3-17.2%
Compare prices for this pick

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz stats

Servette FC and FC Vaduz recent form

newest first
Servette FC WWLWWL
FC Vaduz WLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Servette FC and FC Vaduz season so far

league record

Servette FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

FC Vaduz record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Servette FC wins 1Draws 4FC Vaduz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-05-15FC VaduzServette FCSuper League1-3
2021-03-21Servette FCFC VaduzSuper League1-2
2020-12-23Servette FCFC VaduzSuper League1-1
2020-12-09FC VaduzServette FCSuper League0-2
2019-05-23FC VaduzServette FCChallenge League1-5
2019-02-02Servette FCFC VaduzChallenge League2-0
2018-11-24Servette FCFC VaduzChallenge League4-1
2018-08-12FC VaduzServette FCChallenge League1-0
2018-05-05Servette FCFC VaduzChallenge League0-1
2018-03-05FC VaduzServette FCChallenge League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 23.6%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.79 4.00 3.82
Bet365 1.80 3.90 4.00
BetVictor 1.80 3.90 3.50
Betano 1.82 3.80 3.90
Betfair 1.75 4.20 3.80
Dafabet 1.83 4.10 3.80
Marathonbet 1.77 4.00 3.84
Pinnacle 1.85 4.12 3.72
SBO 1.80 3.52 3.26
William Hill 1.83 3.80 3.60
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.05
X 4.00 ▼ -0.10
2 3.80 ▼ -0.13

14 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Servette FC Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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