Rotkreuz
vs
Servette FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Servette FC
0 β 2 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability
Rotkreuz vs Servette FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rotkreuz vs Servette FC
| Probability | Rotkreuz | Draw | Servette FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.4% | 13.5% | 80.1% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 6.4% | 13.5% | 80.1% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Servette FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Rotkreuz vs Servette FC match preview
In the upcoming Schweizer Cup match, Rotkreuz faces Servette FC, with model probabilities indicating a strong advantage for the visitors. Servette FC has an 80% chance of winning, while Rotkreuz is at 6%, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 13%. The most probable scoreline is 0-2, with an 11% chance, reflecting Servette's superior expected goals of 2.89 compared to Rotkreuz's 0.76.
Both teams show contrasting recent form; Rotkreuz has won their latest match, while Servette FC has experienced mixed results with one win in their last five games. The expectation for goals is high, with a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the model's predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rotkreuz and Servette FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
Rotkreuz and Servette FC attack and defence ratings
Rotkreuz
Servette FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Rotkreuz vs Servette FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 80.1% | 1.25 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.96 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 93.6% | 1.07 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Servette FC win | 61.3% | 1.63 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotkreuz | 6.4% |
| Draw | 13.5% | |
| Servette FC | 80.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 19.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 93.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Servette FC win | 61.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 19.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.8% |
| 0-3 | 10.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Rotkreuz vs Servette FC stats
Rotkreuz and Servette FC recent form
| W | |
| LWWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.