FC Winterthur
vs
FC Luzern
0 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | A. Ciganiks | ||
| 58′ | P. Dorn | ||
| 62′ | L. SilvaO. Kabwit | ||
| 67′ | B. Beyer | ||
| 69′ | L. ZuffiA. Marchesano | ||
| 69′ | E. MaluvunuE. Kehrer | ||
| 74′ | B. H. Freimann | ||
| 79′ | B. Freimann | ||
| 82′ | F. BongeliN. Toggenburger | ||
| 82′ | M. ZimmermannL. Winkler | ||
| 83′ | B. BeyerR. Buess | ||
| 84′ | F. RohnerS. Ottiger | ||
| 84′ | R. Buess | ||
| 84′ | M. Di Giusto | ||
| 90′ | P. Dorn | ||
| 90′ | S. CamaraA. Turkes | ||
| 90′ | D. MikolajewskiT. Owusu | ||
| 90′ | O. Kabwit |
FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern
| Probability | FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Luzern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.2% | 18.9% | 70.9% |
| Market | 28.2% | 20.6% | 51.1% |
| Final | 23.7% | 20.2% | 56.1% |
| Edge | -4.5% | -0.4% | +4.9% |
Why FC Luzern
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.77.
- The market prices FC Luzern below our published probability: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Winterthur and FC Luzern expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
FC Winterthur and FC Luzern attack and defence ratings
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern: result vs prediction
FC Winterthur 0 – 1 FC Luzern
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge
- Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen — team news & stats
- Rotkreuz v Servette FC — match page
- Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 — team news & stats
- Bulle v FC WIL 1900 — match page
- Köniz v Brühl — match page
- Cham vs FC Sion — team news & stats
- Grenchen v Grasshoppers — match page
Before and after this match
FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Luzern | 56.1% | 1.78 | +4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Luzern win | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Winterthur | 23.7% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| FC Luzern | 56.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Luzern win | 49.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 28.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 12.0% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.5% |
FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern stats
FC Winterthur and FC Luzern recent form
| FC Winterthur |
LWWWDD |
| FC Luzern |
LWLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | FC Luzern | FC Winterthur | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-16 | FC Winterthur | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-15 | FC Luzern | FC Winterthur | Switzerland Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-29 | FC Luzern | FC Winterthur | Switzerland Super League | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-25 | FC Winterthur | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | FC Luzern | FC Winterthur | Super League | 3-2 |
| 2025-01-11 | FC Winterthur | FC Luzern | Friendlies Clubs | 1-5 |
| 2024-12-14 | FC Winterthur | FC Luzern | Super League | 3-4 |
| 2024-08-24 | FC Luzern | FC Winterthur | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-11 | FC Winterthur | FC Luzern | Super League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.2%, draw 20.6%, away 51.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 4.45 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 4.45 | 1.79 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04 | 4.55 | 1.84 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 4.00 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .